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  4. 2021
PIT logo

Pittsburgh Steelers

2021 Season

nfelo logo

nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

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Season Overview

Record
9-8-1
nfelo Rating
146821st
Point Diff / Game
-4.223rd
Net EPA / Play
-0.06322nd

2021 Schedule and Results

nfelo by week
Week / OpponentResultScoreMarginSpreadATS Resultnfelo Change
1
BUF logo
BUF@
W
23-16
+7
+6.5
W
3
2
OAK logo
OAK
L
17-26
-9
-5.5
L
-18
3
CIN logo
CIN
L
10-24
-14
-2.5
L
-51
4
GB logo
GB@
L
17-27
-10
+6
L
-6
5
DEN logo
DEN
W
27-19
+8
+1
W
11
6
SEA logo
SEA
W
23-20
+3
-5.5
L
3
7BYE WEEK
8
CLE logo
CLE@
W
15-10
+5
+5.5
W
7
9
CHI logo
CHI
W
29-27
+2
-7
L
-112
10
DET logo
DET
T
16-16
0
-5.5
L
98
11
LAC logo
LAC@
L
37-41
-4
+6
W
3
12
CIN logo
CIN@
L
10-41
-31
+3.5
L
-26
13
BAL logo
BAL
W
20-19
+1
+4
W
11
14
MIN logo
MIN@
L
28-36
-8
+3.5
L
-5
15
TEN logo
TEN
W
19-13
+6
-1
W
-0
16
KC logo
KC@
L
10-36
-26
+10
L
-15
17
CLE logo
CLE
W
26-14
+12
+3.5
W
2
18
BAL logo
BAL@
W
16-13
+3
+3
W
5
19
KC logo
KC@
L
21-42
-21
+13
L
0

Ranks

Off. EPA / Play
-0.08
24th
EPA / Pass
-0.11
26th
EPA / Rush
-0.04
19th
Def. EPA / Play
-0.02
14th
EPA / Pass
+0.02
18th
EPA / Rush
+0.02
29th
Sack EPA
-4.30
16th
Turnover EPA
-4.88
23rd
Point Differential
-4.2
23rd
Points For
20.2
21st
Points Against
24.4
22nd
Total Yards
312.3
23rd
Passing Yards
207.8
14th
Rushing Yards
91.1
30th
Total Yards Allowed
367.6
27th
Passing Allowed
202.2
14th
Rushing Allowed
143.8
32nd

Conversions For

3rd Down
39%
17th
4th Down
52%
20th
Red Zone
55%
21st

Conversions Against

3rd Down
39%
12th
4th Down
54%
17th
Red Zone
54%
11th

Turnovers / Game

Committed
1.1
10th
Created
1.4
14th

Interceptions

Thrown
0.6
6th
Created
0.8
16th

Fumbles

Lost
0.5
17th
Created
0.6
6th