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  4. 2022
PIT logo

Pittsburgh Steelers

2022 Season

nfelo logo

nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

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Season Overview

Record
9-8
nfelo Rating
148913th
Point Diff / Game
-2.224th
Net EPA / Play
-0.03824th

2022 Schedule and Results

nfelo by week
Week / OpponentResultScoreMarginSpreadATS Resultnfelo Change
1
CIN logo
CIN@
W
23-20
+3
+7
W
4
2
NE logo
NE
L
14-17
-3
+3
P
-38
3
CLE logo
CLE@
L
17-29
-12
+4
L
-32
4
NYJ logo
NYJ
L
20-24
-4
-3
L
-65
5
BUF logo
BUF@
L
03-38
-35
+14
L
-5
6
TB logo
TB
W
20-18
+2
+9.5
W
10
7
MIA logo
MIA@
L
10-16
-6
+7.5
W
5
8
PHI logo
PHI@
L
13-35
-22
+11.5
L
-12
9BYE WEEK
10
NO logo
NO
W
20-10
+10
-1.5
W
40
11
CIN logo
CIN
L
30-37
-7
+3.5
L
7
12
IND logo
IND@
W
24-17
+7
+2.5
W
35
13
ATL logo
ATL@
W
19-16
+3
-1
W
29
14
BAL logo
BAL
L
14-16
-2
-1.5
L
13
15
CAR logo
CAR@
W
24-16
+8
+2.5
W
-23
16
OAK logo
OAK
W
13-10
+3
-2.5
W
30
17
BAL logo
BAL@
W
16-13
+3
+1
W
6
18
CLE logo
CLE
W
28-14
+14
-2.5
W
0

Ranks

Off. EPA / Play
-0.02
19th
EPA / Pass
-0.01
16th
EPA / Rush
+0.01
11th
Def. EPA / Play
+0.02
24th
EPA / Pass
+0.08
29th
EPA / Rush
-0.06
10th
Sack EPA
-3.46
10th
Turnover EPA
-4.35
26th
Point Differential
-2.2
24th
Points For
18.1
26th
Points Against
20.4
10th
Total Yards
322.9
23rd
Passing Yards
175.1
20th
Rushing Yards
121.9
16th
Total Yards Allowed
330.5
11th
Passing Allowed
166.8
8th
Rushing Allowed
108.1
9th

Conversions For

3rd Down
45%
7th
4th Down
73%
3rd
Red Zone
51%
24th

Conversions Against

3rd Down
39%
16th
4th Down
62%
26th
Red Zone
55%
16th

Turnovers / Game

Committed
1.1
6th
Created
1.4
11th

Interceptions

Thrown
0.8
17th
Created
1.2
1st

Fumbles

Lost
0.2
1st
Created
0.2
31st