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Kalshi
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Seattle Seahawks

NFC West

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nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

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nfelo History

Current nfelo
1738
Week 22, 2025
Best nfelo
1738
Week 22, 2025
Worst nfelo
1351
Week 17, 2010

Season History

2025
16-3
PF: 29.2 |PA: 17.1
nfelo: 1731
Rank #1
2024
10-7
PF: 22.1 |PA: 21.6
nfelo: 1521
Rank #16
2023
9-8
PF: 21.4 |PA: 23.6
nfelo: 1532
Rank #12
2022
9-9
PF: 23.9 |PA: 24.6
nfelo: 1452
Rank #20
2021
7-10
PF: 23.2 |PA: 21.5
nfelo: 1534
Rank #15
2020
12-5
PF: 28.2 |PA: 23.6
nfelo: 1613
Rank #8
2019
12-6
PF: 24.7 |PA: 24.2
nfelo: 1565
Rank #11
2018
10-7
PF: 26.5 |PA: 21.8
nfelo: 1540
Rank #14
2017
9-7
PF: 22.9 |PA: 20.8
nfelo: 1532
Rank #12
2016
11-6-1
PF: 22.2 |PA: 18.6
nfelo: 1626
Rank #5
2015
11-7
PF: 25.4 |PA: 17.6
nfelo: 1667
Rank #1
2014
14-5
PF: 25.1 |PA: 16.9
nfelo: 1683
Rank #3
2013
16-3
PF: 26.6 |PA: 14.3
nfelo: 1693
Rank #3
2012
12-6
PF: 25.8 |PA: 16.1
nfelo: 1669
Rank #4
2011
7-9
PF: 20.1 |PA: 19.7
nfelo: 1499
Rank #20
2010
8-10
PF: 20.8 |PA: 26.6
nfelo: 1371
Rank #27
2009
5-11
PF: 17.5 |PA: 24.4
nfelo: 1375
Rank #26