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SEA logo

Seattle Seahawks

2018 Season

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nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

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Season Overview

Record
10-7
nfelo Rating
153814th
Point Diff / Game
+4.69th
Net EPA / Play
+0.0829th

2018 Schedule and Results

nfelo by week
Week / OpponentResultScoreMarginSpreadATS Resultnfelo Change
1
DEN logo
DEN@
L
24-27
-3
+3
P
-13
2
CHI logo
CHI@
L
17-24
-7
+4.5
L
-48
3
DAL logo
DAL
W
24-13
+11
-1.5
W
20
4
ARI logo
ARI@
W
20-17
+3
-3.5
L
-4
5
LAR logo
LAR
L
31-33
-2
+7.5
W
9
6
OAK logo
OAK@
W
27-03
+24
-3
W
15
7BYE WEEK
8
DET logo
DET@
W
28-14
+14
+3
W
18
9
LAC logo
LAC
L
17-25
-8
-1
L
-8
10
LAR logo
LAR@
L
31-36
-5
+9.5
W
14
11
GB logo
GB
W
27-24
+3
-3
P
-1
12
CAR logo
CAR@
W
30-27
+3
+3
W
28
13
SF logo
SF
W
43-16
+27
-9.5
W
10
14
MIN logo
MIN
W
21-07
+14
-3
W
0
15
SF logo
SF@
L
23-26
-3
-4
L
-16
16
KC logo
KC
W
38-31
+7
+1
W
13
17
ARI logo
ARI
W
27-24
+3
-15
L
-25
18
DAL logo
DAL@
L
22-24
-2
+2.5
W
0

Ranks

Off. EPA / Play
+0.07
6th
EPA / Pass
+0.15
8th
EPA / Rush
+0.03
5th
Def. EPA / Play
-0.02
19th
EPA / Pass
+0.01
11th
EPA / Rush
-0.06
11th
Sack EPA
-5.18
21st
Turnover EPA
-3.18
31st
Point Differential
+4.6
9th
Points For
26.5
7th
Points Against
21.8
13th
Total Yards
350.5
18th
Passing Yards
195.4
19th
Rushing Yards
155.1
1st
Total Yards Allowed
355.1
19th
Passing Allowed
223.6
24th
Rushing Allowed
116.4
18th

Conversions For

3rd Down
38%
18th
4th Down
81%
3rd
Red Zone
66%
6th

Conversions Against

3rd Down
35%
5th
4th Down
46%
5th
Red Zone
51%
8th

Turnovers / Game

Committed
0.7
1st
Created
1.5
11th

Interceptions

Thrown
0.4
2nd
Created
0.8
19th

Fumbles

Lost
0.3
2nd
Created
0.8
3rd