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SEA logo

Seattle Seahawks

2021 Season

nfelo logo

nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

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Season Overview

Record
7-10
nfelo Rating
153714th
Point Diff / Game
+1.714th
Net EPA / Play
+0.02715th

2021 Schedule and Results

nfelo by week
Week / OpponentResultScoreMarginSpreadATS Resultnfelo Change
1
IND logo
IND@
W
28-16
+12
-3
W
45
2
TEN logo
TEN
L
30-33
-3
-6
L
-21
3
MIN logo
MIN@
L
17-30
-13
-2
L
-14
4
SF logo
SF@
W
28-21
+7
+2.5
W
7
5
LAR logo
LAR
L
17-26
-9
+2.5
L
-92
6
PIT logo
PIT@
L
20-23
-3
+5.5
W
-2
7
NO logo
NO
L
10-13
-3
+6
W
-7
8
JAX logo
JAX
W
31-07
+24
-4
W
82
9BYE WEEK
10
GB logo
GB@
L
00-17
-17
+3
L
-24
11
ARI logo
ARI
L
13-23
-10
-3
L
-29
12
WAS logo
WAS@
L
15-17
-2
-1.5
L
-4
13
SF logo
SF
W
30-23
+7
+2.5
W
7
14
HOU logo
HOU@
W
33-13
+20
-9.5
W
25
15
LAR logo
LAR@
L
10-20
-10
+7
L
-31
16
CHI logo
CHI
L
24-25
-1
-7
L
-8
17
DET logo
DET
W
51-29
+22
-7.5
W
16
18
ARI logo
ARI@
W
38-30
+8
+5.5
W
0

Ranks

Off. EPA / Play
+0.02
13th
EPA / Pass
+0.01
17th
EPA / Rush
+0.04
6th
Def. EPA / Play
-0.01
17th
EPA / Pass
+0.10
24th
EPA / Rush
-0.08
9th
Sack EPA
-4.96
25th
Turnover EPA
-3.34
31st
Point Differential
+1.7
14th
Points For
23.2
16th
Points Against
21.5
12th
Total Yards
324.0
20th
Passing Yards
186.6
24th
Rushing Yards
122.0
10th
Total Yards Allowed
379.6
28th
Passing Allowed
250.2
32nd
Rushing Allowed
113.9
17th

Conversions For

3rd Down
37%
23rd
4th Down
36%
32nd
Red Zone
64%
3rd

Conversions Against

3rd Down
39%
15th
4th Down
42%
3rd
Red Zone
51%
3rd

Turnovers / Game

Committed
0.8
1st
Created
1.1
23rd

Interceptions

Thrown
0.4
2nd
Created
0.6
22nd

Fumbles

Lost
0.4
5th
Created
0.4
18th