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  4. 2023
SEA logo

Seattle Seahawks

2023 Season

nfelo logo

nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

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Season Overview

Record
9-8
nfelo Rating
153312th
Point Diff / Game
-2.222nd
Net EPA / Play
-0.03021st

2023 Schedule and Results

nfelo by week
Week / OpponentResultScoreMarginSpreadATS Resultnfelo Change
1
LAR logo
LAR
L
13-30
-17
-4.5
L
-16
2
DET logo
DET@
W
37-31
+6
+4.5
W
30
3
CAR logo
CAR
W
37-27
+10
-4.5
W
5
4
NYG logo
NYG@
W
24-03
+21
-2.5
W
13
5BYE WEEK
6
CIN logo
CIN@
L
13-17
-4
+3
L
-4
7
ARI logo
ARI
W
20-10
+10
-9
W
9
8
CLE logo
CLE
W
24-20
+4
-4.5
L
-0
9
BAL logo
BAL@
L
03-37
-34
+6
L
-24
10
WAS logo
WAS
W
29-26
+3
-6
L
11
11
LAR logo
LAR@
L
16-17
-1
+2.5
W
-2
12
SF logo
SF
L
13-31
-18
+7
L
-22
13
DAL logo
DAL@
L
35-41
-6
+9.5
W
22
14
SF logo
SF@
L
16-28
-12
+14.5
W
-3
15
PHI logo
PHI
W
20-17
+3
+5.5
W
21
16
TEN logo
TEN@
W
20-17
+3
-3
P
17
17
PIT logo
PIT
L
23-30
-7
-4.5
L
-9
18
ARI logo
ARI@
W
21-20
+1
-3
L
0

Ranks

Off. EPA / Play
+0.02
9th
EPA / Pass
+0.06
12th
EPA / Rush
-0.06
12th
Def. EPA / Play
+0.05
29th
EPA / Pass
+0.06
27th
EPA / Rush
+0.02
30th
Sack EPA
-3.91
11th
Turnover EPA
-2.98
31st
Point Differential
-2.2
22nd
Points For
21.4
17th
Points Against
23.6
24th
Total Yards
323.2
22nd
Passing Yards
219.0
7th
Rushing Yards
92.9
27th
Total Yards Allowed
371.5
30th
Passing Allowed
205.1
22nd
Rushing Allowed
138.4
31st

Conversions For

3rd Down
36%
23rd
4th Down
38%
30th
Red Zone
48%
26th

Conversions Against

3rd Down
46%
31st
4th Down
50%
15th
Red Zone
61%
25th

Turnovers / Game

Committed
0.9
2nd
Created
1.2
20th

Interceptions

Thrown
0.7
15th
Created
0.6
19th

Fumbles

Lost
0.2
1st
Created
0.6
13th