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San Francisco 49ers

NFC West

nfelo History

Current nfelo
1527
Week 5, 2025
Best nfelo
1740
Week 18, 2023
Worst nfelo
1327
Week 16, 2016

Season History

2025
3-1
PF: 20.0 |PA: 18.8
nfelo: 1529
Rank #12
2024
6-11
PF: 22.9 |PA: 25.6
nfelo: 1473
Rank #20
2023
14-6
PF: 28.6 |PA: 18.8
nfelo: 1697
Rank #3
2022
15-5
PF: 25.9 |PA: 17.1
nfelo: 1660
Rank #1
2021
12-8
PF: 24.0 |PA: 20.6
nfelo: 1631
Rank #6
2020
6-10
PF: 23.5 |PA: 24.4
nfelo: 1489
Rank #16
2019
15-4
PF: 29.6 |PA: 19.5
nfelo: 1659
Rank #4
2018
4-12
PF: 21.4 |PA: 27.2
nfelo: 1420
Rank #23
2017
6-10
PF: 20.7 |PA: 23.9
nfelo: 1450
Rank #19
2016
2-14
PF: 19.3 |PA: 30.0
nfelo: 1345
Rank #30
2015
5-11
PF: 14.9 |PA: 24.2
nfelo: 1336
Rank #30
2014
8-8
PF: 19.1 |PA: 21.3
nfelo: 1529
Rank #15
2013
14-5
PF: 24.7 |PA: 17.1
nfelo: 1707
Rank #2
2012
13-5-1
PF: 26.4 |PA: 19.1
nfelo: 1703
Rank #3
2011
14-4
PF: 24.1 |PA: 15.6
nfelo: 1618
Rank #7
2010
6-10
PF: 19.1 |PA: 21.6
nfelo: 1461
Rank #19
2009
8-8
PF: 20.6 |PA: 17.6
nfelo: 1518
Rank #19
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nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

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