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TEN logo

Tennessee Titans

2014 Season

nfelo logo

nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
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  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

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Season Overview

Record
2-14
nfelo Rating
125432nd
Point Diff / Game
-11.531st
Net EPA / Play
-0.21231st

2014 Schedule and Results

nfelo by week
Week / OpponentResultScoreMarginSpreadATS Resultnfelo Change
1
KC logo
KC@
W
26-10
+16
+3
W
41
2
DAL logo
DAL
L
10-26
-16
-3.5
L
-21
3
CIN logo
CIN@
L
07-33
-26
+6.5
L
-50
4
IND logo
IND@
L
17-41
-24
+7.5
L
28
5
CLE logo
CLE
L
28-29
-1
+1
P
-52
6
JAX logo
JAX
W
16-14
+2
-4
L
-1
7
WAS logo
WAS@
L
17-19
-2
+6
W
-17
8
HOU logo
HOU
L
16-30
-14
+3.5
L
-2
9BYE WEEK
10
BAL logo
BAL@
L
07-21
-14
+10.5
L
-15
11
PIT logo
PIT
L
24-27
-3
+7
W
11
12
PHI logo
PHI@
L
24-43
-19
+11
L
-21
13
HOU logo
HOU@
L
21-45
-24
+7
L
-10
14
NYG logo
NYG
L
07-36
-29
+3
L
17
15
NYJ logo
NYJ
L
11-16
-5
+3.5
L
-95
16
JAX logo
JAX@
L
13-21
-8
+4.5
L
-7
17
IND logo
IND
L
10-27
-17
+7.5
L
0

Ranks

Off. EPA / Play
-0.14
30th
EPA / Pass
-0.15
30th
EPA / Rush
-0.09
17th
Def. EPA / Play
+0.07
30th
EPA / Pass
+0.14
26th
EPA / Rush
-0.04
26th
Sack EPA
-5.78
29th
Turnover EPA
-7.30
13th
Point Differential
-11.5
31st
Points For
15.9
30th
Points Against
27.4
29th
Total Yards
303.7
29th
Passing Yards
196.8
16th
Rushing Yards
90.4
26th
Total Yards Allowed
373.0
27th
Passing Allowed
161.1
2nd
Rushing Allowed
137.2
31st

Conversions For

3rd Down
30%
31st
4th Down
35%
28th
Red Zone
46%
26th

Conversions Against

3rd Down
41%
19th
4th Down
45%
14th
Red Zone
59%
24th

Turnovers / Game

Committed
1.6
20th
Created
1.1
27th

Interceptions

Thrown
1.0
19th
Created
0.8
22nd

Fumbles

Lost
0.6
13th
Created
0.3
30th