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TEN logo

Tennessee Titans

2020 Season

nfelo logo

nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

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Season Overview

Record
11-6
nfelo Rating
157710th
Point Diff / Game
+2.613th
Net EPA / Play
+0.04613th

2020 Schedule and Results

nfelo by week
Week / OpponentResultScoreMarginSpreadATS Resultnfelo Change
1
DEN logo
DEN@
W
16-14
+2
-3
L
2
2
JAX logo
JAX
W
33-30
+3
-7
L
2
3
MIN logo
MIN@
W
31-30
+1
-2.5
L
-8
4BYE WEEK
5
BUF logo
BUF
W
42-16
+26
+1
W
23
6
HOU logo
HOU
W
42-36
+6
-4
W
11
7
PIT logo
PIT
L
24-27
-3
-1
L
-7
8
CIN logo
CIN@
L
20-31
-11
-7
L
-14
9
CHI logo
CHI
W
24-17
+7
-6.5
W
6
10
IND logo
IND
L
17-34
-17
+1
L
-32
11
BAL logo
BAL@
W
30-24
+6
+6
W
13
12
IND logo
IND@
W
45-26
+19
+3
W
12
13
CLE logo
CLE
L
35-41
-6
-4
L
-7
14
JAX logo
JAX@
W
31-10
+21
-7.5
W
16
15
DET logo
DET
W
46-25
+21
-9
W
30
16
GB logo
GB@
L
14-40
-26
+3
L
-28
17
HOU logo
HOU@
W
41-38
+3
-7
L
0
18
BAL logo
BAL
L
13-20
-7
+3.5
L
0

Ranks

Off. EPA / Play
+0.16
3rd
EPA / Pass
+0.23
4th
EPA / Rush
+0.08
2nd
Def. EPA / Play
+0.11
28th
EPA / Pass
+0.19
27th
EPA / Rush
+0.02
21st
Sack EPA
-2.81
6th
Turnover EPA
-3.46
31st
Point Differential
+2.6
13th
Points For
29.6
4th
Points Against
27.0
24th
Total Yards
385.9
4th
Passing Yards
212.8
15th
Rushing Yards
161.6
2nd
Total Yards Allowed
398.5
28th
Passing Allowed
174.3
4th
Rushing Allowed
127.6
24th

Conversions For

3rd Down
45%
7th
4th Down
65%
6th
Red Zone
74%
2nd

Conversions Against

3rd Down
52%
32nd
4th Down
58%
19th
Red Zone
68%
30th

Turnovers / Game

Committed
0.8
2nd
Created
1.4
9th

Interceptions

Thrown
0.5
3rd
Created
0.9
7th

Fumbles

Lost
0.3
2nd
Created
0.5
21st