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TEN logo

Tennessee Titans

2024 Season

nfelo logo

nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

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Season Overview

Record
3-14
nfelo Rating
141125th
Point Diff / Game
-8.830th
Net EPA / Play
-0.16930th

2024 Schedule and Results

nfelo by week
Week / OpponentResultScoreMarginSpreadATS Resultnfelo Change
1
CHI logo
CHI@
L
17-24
-7
+4
L
-17
2
NYJ logo
NYJ
L
17-24
-7
+3.5
L
-14
3
GB logo
GB
L
14-30
-16
-3
L
-15
4
MIA logo
MIA@
W
31-12
+19
+1
W
50
5BYE WEEK
6
IND logo
IND
L
17-20
-3
-2.5
L
64
7
BUF logo
BUF@
L
10-34
-24
+9.5
L
-46
8
DET logo
DET@
L
14-52
-38
+12.5
L
-25
9
NE logo
NE
W
20-17
+3
-3.5
L
-89
10
LAC logo
LAC@
L
17-27
-10
+8.5
L
12
11
MIN logo
MIN
L
13-23
-10
+6
L
-6
12
HOU logo
HOU@
W
32-27
+5
+8
W
20
13
WAS logo
WAS@
L
19-42
-23
+6
L
-9
14
JAX logo
JAX
L
06-10
-4
-3
L
-9
15
CIN logo
CIN
L
27-37
-10
+5
L
83
16
IND logo
IND@
L
30-38
-8
+3.5
L
-20
17
JAX logo
JAX@
L
13-20
-7
-1
L
-19
18
HOU logo
HOU
L
14-23
-9
-2.5
L
0

Ranks

Off. EPA / Play
-0.12
30th
EPA / Pass
-0.13
30th
EPA / Rush
-0.11
29th
Def. EPA / Play
+0.05
21st
EPA / Pass
+0.04
18th
EPA / Rush
-0.00
20th
Sack EPA
-4.86
21st
Turnover EPA
-9.16
2nd
Point Differential
-8.8
30th
Points For
18.3
27th
Points Against
27.1
30th
Total Yards
304.6
26th
Passing Yards
189.8
15th
Rushing Yards
109.2
18th
Total Yards Allowed
311.4
3rd
Passing Allowed
156.6
5th
Rushing Allowed
133.9
25th

Conversions For

3rd Down
38%
20th
4th Down
39%
30th
Red Zone
53%
24th

Conversions Against

3rd Down
41%
22nd
4th Down
77%
31st
Red Zone
62%
24th

Turnovers / Game

Committed
1.9
32nd
Created
1.1
18th

Interceptions

Thrown
1.2
31st
Created
0.6
18th

Fumbles

Lost
0.7
27th
Created
0.4
19th