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TEN logo

Tennessee Titans

2025 Season

nfelo logo

nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

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Season Overview

Record
2-11
nfelo Rating
131232nd
Point Diff / Game
-12.032nd
Net EPA / Play
-0.24132nd

2025 Schedule and Results

nfelo by week
Week / OpponentResultScoreMarginSpreadATS Resultnfelo Change
1
DEN logo
DEN@
L
12-20
-8
+8.5
W
-15
2
LAR logo
LAR
L
19-33
-14
+5.5
L
-27
3
IND logo
IND
L
20-41
-21
+6
L
-29
4
HOU logo
HOU@
L
00-26
-26
+7.5
L
-18
5
ARI logo
ARI@
W
22-21
+1
+7.5
W
19
6
OAK logo
OAK@
L
10-20
-10
+3.5
L
-9
7
NE logo
NE
L
13-31
-18
+6.5
L
-19
8
IND logo
IND@
L
14-38
-24
+15.5
L
-31
9
LAC logo
LAC
L
20-27
-7
+9.5
W
-2
10BYE WEEK
11
HOU logo
HOU
L
13-16
-3
+5.5
W
33
12
SEA logo
SEA
L
24-30
-6
+12.5
W
15
13
JAX logo
JAX
L
03-25
-22
+6
L
-15
14
CLE logo
CLE@
W
31-29
+2
+3.5
W
19
15
SF logo
SF@
12/14
-
+12.5
-
-
16
KC logo
KC
12/21
-
-
-
17
NO logo
NO
12/28
-
-
-
18
JAX logo
JAX@
01/04
-
-
-

Ranks

Off. EPA / Play
-0.18
30th
EPA / Pass
-0.27
31st
EPA / Rush
-0.10
30th
Def. EPA / Play
+0.06
26th
EPA / Pass
+0.15
29th
EPA / Rush
-0.02
20th
Sack EPA
-7.83
32nd
Turnover EPA
-5.60
10th
Point Differential
-12.0
32nd
Points For
15.5
31st
Points Against
27.5
29th
Total Yards
246.2
32nd
Passing Yards
161.3
25th
Rushing Yards
84.9
31st
Total Yards Allowed
351.1
26th
Passing Allowed
210.9
30th
Rushing Allowed
122.6
18th

Conversions For

3rd Down
30%
32nd
4th Down
44%
27th
Red Zone
52%
22nd

Conversions Against

3rd Down
39%
16th
4th Down
73%
30th
Red Zone
63%
26th

Turnovers / Game

Committed
1.5
25th
Created
0.8
27th

Interceptions

Thrown
0.5
9th
Created
0.5
26th

Fumbles

Lost
0.9
32nd
Created
0.3
25th