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  4. 2010
WAS logo

Washington Commanders

2010 Season

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nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

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Season Overview

Record
6-10
nfelo Rating
134729th
Point Diff / Game
-4.727th
Net EPA / Play
-0.08227th

2010 Schedule and Results

nfelo by week
Week / OpponentResultScoreMarginSpreadATS Resultnfelo Change
1
DAL logo
DAL
W
13-07
+6
+3.5
W
-0
2
HOU logo
HOU
L
27-30
-3
+3
P
-27
3
LAR logo
LAR@
L
16-30
-14
-5
L
-11
4
PHI logo
PHI@
W
17-12
+5
+5
W
5
5
GB logo
GB
W
16-13
+3
+3
W
1
6
IND logo
IND
L
24-27
-3
+3
P
-10
7
CHI logo
CHI@
W
17-14
+3
+3
W
-4
8
DET logo
DET@
L
25-37
-12
+3
L
-54
9BYE WEEK
10
PHI logo
PHI
L
28-59
-31
+3
L
-14
11
TEN logo
TEN@
W
19-16
+3
+7
W
21
12
MIN logo
MIN
L
13-17
-4
+2
L
-34
13
NYG logo
NYG@
L
07-31
-24
+7.5
L
-12
14
TB logo
TB
L
16-17
-1
+1
P
-66
15
DAL logo
DAL@
L
30-33
-3
+9.5
W
18
16
JAX logo
JAX@
W
20-17
+3
+7
W
16
17
NYG logo
NYG
L
14-17
-3
+4.5
W
0

Ranks

Off. EPA / Play
-0.10
28th
EPA / Pass
-0.08
25th
EPA / Rush
-0.11
19th
Def. EPA / Play
-0.02
12th
EPA / Pass
+0.08
26th
EPA / Rush
-0.03
25th
Sack EPA
-4.92
29th
Turnover EPA
-7.92
9th
Point Differential
-4.7
27th
Points For
18.9
25th
Points Against
23.6
22nd
Total Yards
336.1
17th
Passing Yards
244.8
4th
Rushing Yards
91.3
30th
Total Yards Allowed
389.5
31st
Passing Allowed
236.6
31st
Rushing Allowed
127.7
25th

Conversions For

3rd Down
29%
31st
4th Down
50%
12th
Red Zone
51%
20th

Conversions Against

3rd Down
35%
8th
4th Down
70%
29th
Red Zone
49%
13th

Turnovers / Game

Committed
2.0
25th
Created
1.6
16th

Interceptions

Thrown
1.2
21st
Created
0.9
19th

Fumbles

Lost
0.8
22nd
Created
0.8
10th