CHIBears
1-1
6
TBD
FirstEnergy Stadium
70°F
22 mph
26
CLEBrowns
1-1
TBD
FirstEnergy Stadium
70°F
22 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Bears
3
0
3
0
6
Browns
0
10
3
13
26
Spread
-7.5
Total
UNDER
45
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
47
418
Total Plays
42
78
Yards / Play
1.1
5.4
EPA / Play
-0.47
+0.02
Passing Yards
1
203
Comp/Att
6/20(30%)
19/31(61%)
Yards / Pass
0.1
6.5
EPA / Pass
-1.09
-0.07
Rushing Yards
46
215
Rush Attempts
13
42
Yards / Rush
3.5
5.1
EPA / Rush
-0.28
+0.01
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
6
26
Passing 1st downs
2
13
Rushing 1st downs
2
11
Penalty 1st downs
2
2
3rd Down %
9%
47%
3rd Down Conversions
1
8
3rd Down Attempts
11
17
Red Zone %
0%
25%
Red Zone Conversions
--
1
Red Zone Attempts
1
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
0
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
--
--
Sacks
9
5
Sack Yards
-67
-43
Sack EPA
-16.67
-12.78
Penalties
5
7
Penalty Yards
44
98
Penalty EPA
-5.90
-10.99
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
CLEBrownsFavored
Opening
-7.5
Current
-7.5
Model
-7.0
Win Probability
Market74.4%
Model73.2%
Spread Pick
Bears+7.5
Expected Value
+5.5%
Cover Probability
55.2%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+132
Home nfelo
1,530
Away nfelo
1,472
Home Field
+51.0
Base HFA
+43.2
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
+7.7
Net QB Adjustment
+23.1
Home QB Adjustment
+2.2
Away QB Adjustment
-20.8
Market Regression
--
Final Difference
174.5
Model Spread
-7.0
Quarterbacks
J. Fields
Proj. Value
+0.1
Team Elo Adj
-20.8
No recent game data available
B. Mayfield
Proj. Value
+3.0
Team Elo Adj
+2.2
Team Matchup Ranks
Bears Offense vs Browns Defense
Total
Points / Game
27
14
Yards / Game
24
3
Passing Yards / Game
21
8
Rushing Yards / Game
15
11
EPA
EPA / Play
27
21
EPA / Pass
30
11
EPA / Rush
18
25
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
27
6
Interceptions / Game
29
17
Fumbles / Game
20
30
Turnover EPA / Game
4
11
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
32
14
4th Down Efficiency
28
27
RZ Efficiency
30
28
Browns Offense vs Bears Defense
Total
Points / Game
20
21
Yards / Game
18
5
Passing Yards / Game
28
6
Rushing Yards / Game
4
22
EPA
EPA / Play
20
16
EPA / Pass
22
20
EPA / Rush
4
19
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
23
2
Interceptions / Game
14
29
Fumbles / Game
20
11
Turnover EPA / Game
21
7
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
18
11
4th Down Efficiency
30
11
RZ Efficiency
12
14
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Bears
4-6
SU
4-6
ATS
6-4
O/U
Browns
6-4
SU
5-5
ATS
7-3
O/U