CHIBears
5-7
3
TBD
TIAA Bank Stadium
53°F
15 mph
22
JAXJaguars
6-6
TBD
TIAA Bank Stadium
53°F
15 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Bears
0
3
0
0
3
Jaguars
7
3
3
7
20
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
210
332
Total Plays
52
73
Yards / Play
4.0
4.5
EPA / Play
-0.37
-0.09
Passing Yards
179
--
Comp/Att
17/33(52%)
25/45(56%)
Yards / Pass
5.4
--
EPA / Pass
-0.39
-0.07
Rushing Yards
31
90
Rush Attempts
14
28
Yards / Rush
2.2
3.2
EPA / Rush
-0.35
-0.22
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
10
22
Passing 1st downs
9
13
Rushing 1st downs
--
5
Penalty 1st downs
1
4
3rd Down %
17%
27%
3rd Down Conversions
2
4
3rd Down Attempts
12
15
Red Zone %
0%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
--
2
Red Zone Attempts
2
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
1
Interceptions
1
1
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-9.12
-5.14
Sacks
5
--
Sack Yards
-33
--
Sack EPA
-9.53
--
Penalties
13
8
Penalty Yards
104
75
Penalty EPA
-4.38
-8.15
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
CHIBearsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Bears Offense vs Jaguars Defense
Total
Points / Game
32
7
Yards / Game
32
11
Passing Yards / Game
27
9
Rushing Yards / Game
26
11
EPA
EPA / Play
32
14
EPA / Pass
32
20
EPA / Rush
29
13
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
5
23
Interceptions / Game
14
17
Fumbles / Game
30
10
Turnover EPA / Game
8
13
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
32
24
4th Down Efficiency
28
17
RZ Efficiency
32
1
Jaguars Offense vs Bears Defense
Total
Points / Game
29
12
Yards / Game
21
19
Passing Yards / Game
18
4
Rushing Yards / Game
15
24
EPA
EPA / Play
22
3
EPA / Pass
18
6
EPA / Rush
19
5
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
14
1
Interceptions / Game
4
15
Fumbles / Game
11
6
Turnover EPA / Game
21
28
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
16
1
4th Down Efficiency
12
3
RZ Efficiency
31
5
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Bears
4-6
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Jaguars
4-6
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U