CHIBears
1-3
27
TBD
Lambeau Field
79°F
5 mph
20
GBPackers
4-0
TBD
Lambeau Field
79°F
5 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Bears
0
7
10
10
27
Packers
7
10
3
0
20
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
285
439
Total Plays
60
63
Yards / Play
4.8
7.0
EPA / Play
+0.17
-0.02
Passing Yards
203
318
Comp/Att
15/25(60%)
29/40(73%)
Yards / Pass
8.1
8.0
EPA / Pass
+0.14
-0.07
Rushing Yards
82
121
Rush Attempts
33
22
Yards / Rush
2.5
5.5
EPA / Rush
-0.14
-0.01
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
16
18
Passing 1st downs
8
12
Rushing 1st downs
4
5
Penalty 1st downs
4
1
3rd Down %
21%
43%
3rd Down Conversions
3
6
3rd Down Attempts
14
14
Red Zone %
67%
25%
Red Zone Conversions
2
1
Red Zone Attempts
3
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
4
Interceptions
1
2
Fumbles
1
2
Turnover EPA
+0.62
-14.22
Sacks
2
1
Sack Yards
-11
-4
Sack EPA
-3.78
-1.06
Penalties
6
12
Penalty Yards
40
93
Penalty EPA
-3.91
-11.81
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
CHIBearsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Bears Offense vs Packers Defense
Total
Points / Game
18
7
Yards / Game
27
10
Passing Yards / Game
6
14
Rushing Yards / Game
30
12
EPA
EPA / Play
26
11
EPA / Pass
26
8
EPA / Rush
30
16
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
28
30
Interceptions / Game
28
17
Fumbles / Game
15
30
Turnover EPA / Game
15
14
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
28
3
4th Down Efficiency
18
4
RZ Efficiency
27
9
Packers Offense vs Bears Defense
Total
Points / Game
4
17
Yards / Game
2
28
Passing Yards / Game
16
30
Rushing Yards / Game
19
24
EPA
EPA / Play
5
5
EPA / Pass
5
14
EPA / Rush
20
13
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
18
9
Interceptions / Game
12
18
Fumbles / Game
21
1
Turnover EPA / Game
29
25
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
9
2
4th Down Efficiency
15
29
RZ Efficiency
8
14
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Bears
5-5
SU
1-9
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Packers
8-2
SU
7-2-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U