CINBengals
10-3
24
TBD
Levi's Stadium
52°F
14 mph
14
SF49ers
4-9
TBD
Levi's Stadium
52°F
14 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Bengals
0
21
3
0
24
49ers
0
0
7
7
14
Spread
-6.5
Total
UNDER
41
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
242
318
Total Plays
61
71
Yards / Play
4.0
4.5
EPA / Play
-0.22
-0.36
Passing Yards
174
263
Comp/Att
15/21(71%)
30/50(60%)
Yards / Pass
8.3
5.3
EPA / Pass
+0.30
-0.39
Rushing Yards
68
55
Rush Attempts
36
17
Yards / Rush
1.9
3.2
EPA / Rush
-0.47
+0.01
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
14
17
Passing 1st downs
7
12
Rushing 1st downs
5
4
Penalty 1st downs
2
1
3rd Down %
29%
14%
3rd Down Conversions
4
2
3rd Down Attempts
14
14
Red Zone %
67%
67%
Red Zone Conversions
2
2
Red Zone Attempts
3
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
4
Interceptions
0
3
Fumbles
1
1
Turnover EPA
-5.85
-16.89
Sacks
4
4
Sack Yards
-18
-32
Sack EPA
-5.19
-4.09
Penalties
6
11
Penalty Yards
45
98
Penalty EPA
-4.57
-12.74
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
CINBengalsFavored
Opening
-4.5
Current
-6.5
Model
-3.5
Win Probability
Market71.4%
Model61.8%
Spread Pick
49ers+6.5
Expected Value
+10.0%
Cover Probability
57.6%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-20
Home nfelo
1,438
Away nfelo
1,617
Home Field
+101.8
Base HFA
+59.6
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+20.8
Time Adj
+21.4
Net QB Adjustment
+56.8
Home QB Adjustment
-67.0
Away QB Adjustment
-123.8
Market Regression
-16.4
Final Difference
-83.9
Model Spread
+3.5
Quarterbacks
R. McCarron
Proj. Value
-4.3
Team Elo Adj
-123.8
No recent game data available
B. Gabbert
Proj. Value
-3.9
Team Elo Adj
-67.0
Team Matchup Ranks
Bengals Offense vs 49ers Defense
Total
Points / Game
5
17
Yards / Game
16
29
Passing Yards / Game
30
1
Rushing Yards / Game
13
29
EPA
EPA / Play
6
27
EPA / Pass
2
29
EPA / Rush
23
25
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
25
2
Interceptions / Game
6
26
Fumbles / Game
25
30
Turnover EPA / Game
25
2
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
14
18
4th Down Efficiency
4
20
RZ Efficiency
5
21
49ers Offense vs Bengals Defense
Total
Points / Game
32
2
Yards / Game
31
13
Passing Yards / Game
23
24
Rushing Yards / Game
21
7
EPA
EPA / Play
30
7
EPA / Pass
29
5
EPA / Rush
9
23
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
4
23
Interceptions / Game
11
3
Fumbles / Game
1
27
Turnover EPA / Game
28
19
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
31
14
4th Down Efficiency
21
16
RZ Efficiency
31
4
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Bengals
7-3
SU
7-2-1
ATS
5-5
O/U
49ers
3-7
SU
5-5
ATS
4-6
O/U