CINBengals
1-3
20
TBD
GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium
68°F
12 mph
27
KCChiefs
2-3
TBD
GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium
68°F
12 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Bengals
7
0
0
13
20
Chiefs
10
10
0
7
27
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
373
354
Total Plays
65
74
Yards / Play
5.7
4.8
EPA / Play
-0.08
+0.00
Passing Yards
295
233
Comp/Att
26/43(60%)
25/35(71%)
Yards / Pass
6.9
6.7
EPA / Pass
-0.03
+0.20
Rushing Yards
78
121
Rush Attempts
18
34
Yards / Rush
4.3
3.6
EPA / Rush
-0.27
-0.38
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
22
20
Passing 1st downs
16
14
Rushing 1st downs
2
4
Penalty 1st downs
4
2
3rd Down %
9%
44%
3rd Down Conversions
1
7
3rd Down Attempts
11
16
Red Zone %
0%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
--
2
Red Zone Attempts
2
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
3
2
Interceptions
2
0
Fumbles
1
2
Turnover EPA
-10.78
-7.54
Sacks
4
5
Sack Yards
-25
-31
Sack EPA
-10.37
-8.20
Penalties
6
9
Penalty Yards
59
55
Penalty EPA
-6.16
-6.58
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
CINBengalsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Bengals Offense vs Chiefs Defense
Total
Points / Game
11
15
Yards / Game
9
12
Passing Yards / Game
17
22
Rushing Yards / Game
23
28
EPA
EPA / Play
9
14
EPA / Pass
7
10
EPA / Rush
15
20
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
1
1
Interceptions / Game
24
24
Fumbles / Game
12
18
Turnover EPA / Game
12
3
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
5
1
4th Down Efficiency
29
1
RZ Efficiency
22
1
Chiefs Offense vs Bengals Defense
Total
Points / Game
31
24
Yards / Game
31
27
Passing Yards / Game
12
10
Rushing Yards / Game
32
21
EPA
EPA / Play
30
24
EPA / Pass
28
29
EPA / Rush
29
6
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
22
31
Interceptions / Game
24
7
Fumbles / Game
15
3
Turnover EPA / Game
13
30
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
27
27
4th Down Efficiency
3
17
RZ Efficiency
23
8
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Bengals
4-6
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Chiefs
4-6
SU
4-5-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U