CINBengals
5-4
21
TBD
M&T Bank Stadium
48°F
8 mph
24
BALRavens
4-5
TBD
M&T Bank Stadium
48°F
8 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Bengals
0
7
14
0
21
Ravens
7
6
8
3
24
Spread
+6.5
Total
OVER
44
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
255
405
Total Plays
54
76
Yards / Play
4.7
5.3
EPA / Play
-0.12
-0.07
Passing Yards
207
136
Comp/Att
19/37(51%)
13/19(68%)
Yards / Pass
5.6
7.2
EPA / Pass
+0.09
-0.24
Rushing Yards
48
269
Rush Attempts
16
54
Yards / Rush
3.0
5.0
EPA / Rush
-0.18
+0.11
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
15
23
Passing 1st downs
10
7
Rushing 1st downs
4
15
Penalty 1st downs
1
1
3rd Down %
43%
50%
3rd Down Conversions
6
8
3rd Down Attempts
14
16
Red Zone %
100%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
2
2
Red Zone Attempts
2
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
1
Interceptions
0
1
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
--
-6.39
Sacks
1
3
Sack Yards
-4
-14
Sack EPA
-0.61
-4.42
Penalties
7
5
Penalty Yards
58
31
Penalty EPA
-1.90
-5.23
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
BALRavensFavored
Opening
-4.5
Current
-6.5
Model
-6.5
Win Probability
Market71.0%
Model71.0%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+139
Home nfelo
1,570
Away nfelo
1,459
Home Field
+68.3
Base HFA
+57.6
Divisional Adj
-26.0
Home Bye Adj
+16.5
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+20.1
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
-40.7
Home QB Adjustment
-50.8
Away QB Adjustment
-10.1
Market Regression
+39.5
Final Difference
155.5
Model Spread
-6.5
Quarterbacks
A. Dalton
Proj. Value
-1.5
Team Elo Adj
-10.1
L. Jackson
Proj. Value
+5.8
Team Elo Adj
-50.8
No recent game data available
Team Matchup Ranks
Bengals Offense vs Ravens Defense
Total
Points / Game
17
2
Yards / Game
26
1
Passing Yards / Game
22
2
Rushing Yards / Game
21
3
EPA
EPA / Play
18
3
EPA / Pass
18
4
EPA / Rush
19
5
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
5
21
Interceptions / Game
17
22
Fumbles / Game
1
24
Turnover EPA / Game
24
9
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
20
3
4th Down Efficiency
18
10
RZ Efficiency
3
21
Ravens Offense vs Bengals Defense
Total
Points / Game
13
30
Yards / Game
12
32
Passing Yards / Game
18
10
Rushing Yards / Game
2
29
EPA
EPA / Play
16
29
EPA / Pass
19
29
EPA / Rush
10
28
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
20
19
Interceptions / Game
6
20
Fumbles / Game
28
19
Turnover EPA / Game
15
14
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
7
32
4th Down Efficiency
7
26
RZ Efficiency
20
25
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Bengals
6-4
SU
5-5
ATS
7-3
O/U
Ravens
4-6
SU
4-6
ATS
4-6
O/U