nfelo logo

nfelo

Live
Platform
Kalshi
$10

$10 Bonus

Receive $10 when you sign up with Kalshi prediction market

Affiliate Disclosure: Some of the links and placements on this site may be affiliate links or paid partnerships. This means nfelo may receive compensation when you click these links or sign up for a partner’s service.

Offer Disclosure: Offers are for informational purposes only. Age, location, and other restrictions may apply. nfelo does not validate offer availability. See provider for full terms.

  1. nfelo...
  2. predictions...
  3. bengals @ ravens week 11, 2018

Game Summary

Spread
Total

Model

Quarterbacks

Matchup

nfelo logo

nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

© 2026 nfelo. All rights reserved.

Entertainment purposes only. The information contained on nfeloapp.com is not intended to be, and shall not be construed as, gambling advice, financial advice, or any other professional advice or service. nfeloapp.com and its owners assume no responsibility for errors or omissions. Please gamble responsibly.

CIN logo
CINBengals
5-4
21
TBD
M&T Bank Stadium
48°F
8 mph
24
BALRavens
4-5
BAL logo
TBD
M&T Bank Stadium
48°F
8 mph

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Bengals
0
7
14
0
21
Ravens
7
6
8
3
24

Spread

CIN logo
+6.5

Total

OVER
44

Game Statistics

General
Bengals logo
Ravens logo
Total Yards
255
405
Total Plays
54
76
Yards / Play
4.7
5.3
EPA / Play
-0.12
-0.07
Passing Yards
207
136
Comp/Att
19/37(51%)
13/19(68%)
Yards / Pass
5.6
7.2
EPA / Pass
+0.09
-0.24
Rushing Yards
48
269
Rush Attempts
16
54
Yards / Rush
3.0
5.0
EPA / Rush
-0.18
+0.11
Downs & Conversions
Bengals logo
Ravens logo
1st Downs
15
23
Passing 1st downs
10
7
Rushing 1st downs
4
15
Penalty 1st downs
1
1
3rd Down %
43%
50%
3rd Down Conversions
6
8
3rd Down Attempts
14
16
Red Zone %
100%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
2
2
Red Zone Attempts
2
4
Negative Plays
Bengals logo
Ravens logo
Turnovers
0
1
Interceptions
0
1
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
--
-6.39
Sacks
1
3
Sack Yards
-4
-14
Sack EPA
-0.61
-4.42
Penalties
7
5
Penalty Yards
58
31
Penalty EPA
-1.90
-5.23

Game Preview

nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game

Model

Projected Winner
BAL logo
BALRavensFavored
Opening
-4.5
Current
-6.5
Model
-6.5

Win Probability

Market71.0%
Model71.0%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+142
Home nfelo
1,568
Away nfelo
1,454
Home Field
+69.1
Base HFA
+58.3
Divisional Adj
-26.3
Home Bye Adj
+16.7
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+20.4
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
-40.7
Home QB Adjustment
-50.8
Away QB Adjustment
-10.1
Market Regression
+39.5
Final Difference
155.5
Model Spread
-6.5

Quarterbacks

A. Dalton headshot

A. Dalton

Proj. Value
-2.0
Team Elo Adj
-10.1
Value
Ptile
12/31
2.2
68
09/09
1.7
59
09/13
7.5
91
09/23
-3.2
26
09/30
4.0
74
10/07
-0.9
41
10/14
-0.2
45
10/21
-6.6
11
10/28
0.6
50
11/11
-9.6
4
L. Jackson headshot

L. Jackson

Proj. Value
+0.4
Team Elo Adj
-50.8
No recent game data available

Team Matchup Ranks

Bengals Offense vs Ravens Defense
Bengals logo
Ravens logo

Total

Points / Game
17
2
Yards / Game
26
1
Passing Yards / Game
22
2
Rushing Yards / Game
21
3

EPA

EPA / Play
18
3
EPA / Pass
18
4
EPA / Rush
19
5

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
5
21
Interceptions / Game
17
22
Fumbles / Game
1
24
Turnover EPA / Game
24
9

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
20
3
4th Down Efficiency
18
10
RZ Efficiency
3
21
Ravens Offense vs Bengals Defense
Ravens logo
Bengals logo

Total

Points / Game
13
30
Yards / Game
12
32
Passing Yards / Game
18
10
Rushing Yards / Game
2
29

EPA

EPA / Play
16
29
EPA / Pass
19
29
EPA / Rush
10
28

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
20
19
Interceptions / Game
6
20
Fumbles / Game
28
19
Turnover EPA / Game
15
14

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
7
32
4th Down Efficiency
7
26
RZ Efficiency
20
25

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

CIN logo

Bengals

6-4
SU
5-5
ATS
7-3
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
12/31
4
W
W
O
09/09
11
W
W
O
09/13
11
W
W
O
09/23
-10
L
L
O
09/30
1
W
W
O
10/07
10
W
W
U
10/14
-7
L
L
U
10/21
-35
L
L
U
10/28
3
W
L
O
11/11
-37
L
L
O
BAL logo

Ravens

4-6
SU
4-6
ATS
4-6
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
12/31
-4
L
L
O
09/09
44
W
W
O
09/13
-11
L
L
O
09/23
13
W
W
U
09/30
12
W
W
U
10/07
-3
L
L
U
10/14
21
W
W
U
10/21
-1
L
L
U
10/28
-15
L
L
O
11/04
-7
L
L
U