CINBengals
5-8
7
TBD
U.S. Bank Stadium
70°F
034
MINVikings
10-3
TBD
U.S. Bank Stadium
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Bengals
0
0
0
7
7
Vikings
11
7
3
7
28
Spread
-13
Total
UNDER
42.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
161
346
Total Plays
51
61
Yards / Play
3.2
5.7
EPA / Play
-0.64
-0.03
Passing Yards
115
222
Comp/Att
14/28(50%)
20/25(80%)
Yards / Pass
4.1
8.9
EPA / Pass
-0.72
-0.05
Rushing Yards
46
124
Rush Attempts
20
34
Yards / Rush
2.3
3.6
EPA / Rush
-0.47
+0.00
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
8
18
Passing 1st downs
4
8
Rushing 1st downs
2
7
Penalty 1st downs
2
3
3rd Down %
8%
33%
3rd Down Conversions
1
4
3rd Down Attempts
13
12
Red Zone %
100%
75%
Red Zone Conversions
1
3
Red Zone Attempts
1
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
1
Interceptions
2
1
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
-11.87
-6.01
Sacks
3
2
Sack Yards
-17
-14
Sack EPA
-5.71
-2.87
Penalties
5
11
Penalty Yards
44
93
Penalty EPA
-6.98
-8.86
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
MINVikingsFavored
Opening
-11.5
Current
-13.0
Model
-11.5
Win Probability
Market84.9%
Model82.5%
Spread Pick
Bengals+13.0
Expected Value
+0.3%
Cover Probability
51.0%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+205
Home nfelo
1,638
Away nfelo
1,463
Home Field
+45.7
Base HFA
+55.7
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
-10.0
Net QB Adjustment
-15.6
Home QB Adjustment
-21.0
Away QB Adjustment
-5.4
Market Regression
+12.1
Final Difference
269.9
Model Spread
-11.5
Quarterbacks
A. Dalton
Proj. Value
-1.5
Team Elo Adj
-5.4
C. Keenum
Proj. Value
-1.8
Team Elo Adj
-21.0
Team Matchup Ranks
Bengals Offense vs Vikings Defense
Total
Points / Game
25
2
Yards / Game
32
2
Passing Yards / Game
18
17
Rushing Yards / Game
31
2
EPA
EPA / Play
26
3
EPA / Pass
21
4
EPA / Rush
28
5
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
21
26
Interceptions / Game
13
13
Fumbles / Game
21
32
Turnover EPA / Game
12
14
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
29
1
4th Down Efficiency
21
12
RZ Efficiency
11
4
Vikings Offense vs Bengals Defense
Total
Points / Game
10
17
Yards / Game
10
18
Passing Yards / Game
26
8
Rushing Yards / Game
8
30
EPA
EPA / Play
11
14
EPA / Pass
9
10
EPA / Rush
26
25
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
14
13
Interceptions / Game
6
18
Fumbles / Game
11
28
Turnover EPA / Game
23
12
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
1
24
4th Down Efficiency
31
16
RZ Efficiency
12
5
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Bengals
5-5
SU
6-4
ATS
5-5
O/U
Vikings
8-2
SU
7-3
ATS
5-5
O/U