BUFBills
8-6
41
TBD
Candlestick Park
54°F
18 mph
7
SF49ers
2-12
TBD
Candlestick Park
54°F
18 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Bills
0
17
10
14
41
49ers
0
0
0
7
7
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
441
189
Total Plays
73
51
Yards / Play
6.0
3.7
EPA / Play
+0.28
-0.37
Passing Yards
215
91
Comp/Att
23/36(64%)
9/20(45%)
Yards / Pass
6.0
4.5
EPA / Pass
+0.24
-0.74
Rushing Yards
226
98
Rush Attempts
36
28
Yards / Rush
6.3
3.5
EPA / Rush
+0.24
-0.12
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
27
12
Passing 1st downs
13
7
Rushing 1st downs
14
4
Penalty 1st downs
--
1
3rd Down %
64%
30%
3rd Down Conversions
9
3
3rd Down Attempts
14
10
Red Zone %
60%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
3
1
Red Zone Attempts
5
1
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
4
Interceptions
0
3
Fumbles
1
1
Turnover EPA
-4.65
-16.42
Sacks
1
3
Sack Yards
-1
-18
Sack EPA
-0.55
-6.18
Penalties
5
4
Penalty Yards
46
--
Penalty EPA
-3.51
--
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
BUFBillsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Bills Offense vs 49ers Defense
Total
Points / Game
7
32
Yards / Game
25
24
Passing Yards / Game
23
19
Rushing Yards / Game
12
21
EPA
EPA / Play
20
24
EPA / Pass
20
28
EPA / Rush
25
23
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
30
3
Interceptions / Game
17
29
Fumbles / Game
18
16
Turnover EPA / Game
14
10
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
20
23
4th Down Efficiency
19
26
RZ Efficiency
28
26
49ers Offense vs Bills Defense
Total
Points / Game
30
8
Yards / Game
26
2
Passing Yards / Game
14
5
Rushing Yards / Game
30
6
EPA
EPA / Play
30
1
EPA / Pass
28
2
EPA / Rush
30
2
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
3
13
Interceptions / Game
25
2
Fumbles / Game
31
3
Turnover EPA / Game
2
31
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
27
13
4th Down Efficiency
1
30
RZ Efficiency
26
4
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Bills
8-2
SU
8-2
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
49ers
2-8
SU
4-6
ATS
0-0-10
O/U