BUFBills
7-6
33
TBD
Paycor Stadium
19°F
22 mph
17
CINBengals
6-7
TBD
Paycor Stadium
19°F
22 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Bills
8
7
0
6
21
Bengals
7
3
0
7
17
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
212
275
Total Plays
61
66
Yards / Play
3.5
4.2
EPA / Play
-0.02
-0.35
Passing Yards
169
126
Comp/Att
15/30(50%)
16/32(50%)
Yards / Pass
5.6
3.9
EPA / Pass
-0.04
-0.36
Rushing Yards
43
149
Rush Attempts
29
31
Yards / Rush
1.5
4.8
EPA / Rush
-0.38
-0.29
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
13
16
Passing 1st downs
9
9
Rushing 1st downs
3
6
Penalty 1st downs
1
1
3rd Down %
23%
40%
3rd Down Conversions
3
6
3rd Down Attempts
13
15
Red Zone %
20%
67%
Red Zone Conversions
1
2
Red Zone Attempts
5
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
4
Interceptions
0
2
Fumbles
1
2
Turnover EPA
-3.08
-20.89
Sacks
2
3
Sack Yards
-14
-25
Sack EPA
-2.38
-5.62
Penalties
4
7
Penalty Yards
37
62
Penalty EPA
-4.08
-6.55
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
BUFBillsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Bills Offense vs Bengals Defense
Total
Points / Game
7
21
Yards / Game
25
17
Passing Yards / Game
23
26
Rushing Yards / Game
12
25
EPA
EPA / Play
20
10
EPA / Pass
20
9
EPA / Rush
25
15
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
30
26
Interceptions / Game
17
8
Fumbles / Game
18
6
Turnover EPA / Game
14
27
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
20
15
4th Down Efficiency
19
6
RZ Efficiency
28
9
Bengals Offense vs Bills Defense
Total
Points / Game
10
8
Yards / Game
18
2
Passing Yards / Game
30
5
Rushing Yards / Game
16
6
EPA
EPA / Play
23
1
EPA / Pass
22
2
EPA / Rush
21
2
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
14
13
Interceptions / Game
29
2
Fumbles / Game
21
3
Turnover EPA / Game
6
31
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
11
13
4th Down Efficiency
14
30
RZ Efficiency
19
4
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Bills
7-3
SU
8-2
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Bengals
5-5
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U