BUFBills
4-10
37
TBD
Paycor Stadium
51°F
10 mph
27
CINBengals
11-3
TBD
Paycor Stadium
51°F
10 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Bills
6
7
7
11
31
Bengals
0
14
10
3
27
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
355
374
Total Plays
59
63
Yards / Play
6.0
5.9
EPA / Play
+0.33
+0.08
Passing Yards
288
270
Comp/Att
24/31(77%)
27/38(71%)
Yards / Pass
9.3
7.1
EPA / Pass
+0.53
+0.06
Rushing Yards
67
104
Rush Attempts
25
23
Yards / Rush
2.7
4.5
EPA / Rush
-0.18
+0.10
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
19
23
Passing 1st downs
14
14
Rushing 1st downs
4
8
Penalty 1st downs
1
1
3rd Down %
45%
56%
3rd Down Conversions
5
5
3rd Down Attempts
11
9
Red Zone %
40%
33%
Red Zone Conversions
2
1
Red Zone Attempts
5
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
2
Interceptions
1
2
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
-3.75
-11.80
Sacks
3
2
Sack Yards
-20
-13
Sack EPA
-2.81
-2.78
Penalties
6
3
Penalty Yards
55
15
Penalty EPA
-6.37
-2.70
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
BUFBillsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Bills Offense vs Bengals Defense
Total
Points / Game
24
23
Yards / Game
29
28
Passing Yards / Game
22
16
Rushing Yards / Game
21
21
EPA
EPA / Play
17
29
EPA / Pass
21
22
EPA / Rush
23
26
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
20
31
Interceptions / Game
17
1
Fumbles / Game
8
15
Turnover EPA / Game
22
32
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
21
31
4th Down Efficiency
24
16
RZ Efficiency
30
26
Bengals Offense vs Bills Defense
Total
Points / Game
4
24
Yards / Game
4
29
Passing Yards / Game
9
27
Rushing Yards / Game
12
30
EPA
EPA / Play
5
30
EPA / Pass
5
26
EPA / Rush
6
32
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
6
12
Interceptions / Game
13
11
Fumbles / Game
1
9
Turnover EPA / Game
27
21
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
2
32
4th Down Efficiency
30
23
RZ Efficiency
11
32
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Bills
3-7
SU
5-4-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Bengals
7-3
SU
5-3-2
ATS
0-0-10
O/U