BUFBills
1-0
3
TBD
Raymond James Stadium
91°F
4 mph
19
TBBuccaneers
1-0
TBD
Raymond James Stadium
91°F
4 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Bills
0
3
0
0
3
Buccaneers
0
7
7
3
17
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
147
318
Total Plays
50
63
Yards / Play
2.9
5.0
EPA / Play
-0.20
+0.07
Passing Yards
100
127
Comp/Att
14/31(45%)
16/22(73%)
Yards / Pass
3.2
5.8
EPA / Pass
-0.33
+0.08
Rushing Yards
47
191
Rush Attempts
17
40
Yards / Rush
2.8
4.8
EPA / Rush
-0.38
+0.09
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
8
18
Passing 1st downs
6
7
Rushing 1st downs
1
11
Penalty 1st downs
1
--
3rd Down %
29%
50%
3rd Down Conversions
4
7
3rd Down Attempts
14
14
Red Zone %
0%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
--
2
Red Zone Attempts
1
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
0
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
--
--
Sacks
2
1
Sack Yards
-12
-9
Sack EPA
-1.28
-1.95
Penalties
3
13
Penalty Yards
--
99
Penalty EPA
--
-8.85
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
BUFBillsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Bills Offense vs Buccaneers Defense
Total
Points / Game
24
7
Yards / Game
29
1
Passing Yards / Game
22
15
Rushing Yards / Game
21
5
EPA
EPA / Play
17
3
EPA / Pass
21
5
EPA / Rush
23
1
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
20
14
Interceptions / Game
17
13
Fumbles / Game
8
18
Turnover EPA / Game
22
19
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
21
7
4th Down Efficiency
24
13
RZ Efficiency
30
13
Buccaneers Offense vs Bills Defense
Total
Points / Game
22
24
Yards / Game
24
29
Passing Yards / Game
23
27
Rushing Yards / Game
15
30
EPA
EPA / Play
21
30
EPA / Pass
22
26
EPA / Rush
15
32
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
12
12
Interceptions / Game
13
11
Fumbles / Game
10
9
Turnover EPA / Game
8
21
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
15
32
4th Down Efficiency
17
23
RZ Efficiency
15
32
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Bills
8-2
SU
8-2
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Buccaneers
4-6
SU
4-6
ATS
0-0-10
O/U