BUFBills
5-6
42
TBD
Hard Rock Stadium
79°F
13 mph
32
MIADolphins
2-9
TBD
Hard Rock Stadium
79°F
13 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Bills
14
7
7
8
36
Dolphins
21
3
0
8
32
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
362
405
Total Plays
61
79
Yards / Play
5.9
5.1
EPA / Play
+0.17
-0.05
Passing Yards
257
299
Comp/Att
19/30(63%)
25/52(48%)
Yards / Pass
8.6
5.8
EPA / Pass
+0.46
-0.24
Rushing Yards
105
106
Rush Attempts
28
26
Yards / Rush
3.8
4.1
EPA / Rush
-0.33
-0.10
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
16
25
Passing 1st downs
11
16
Rushing 1st downs
4
7
Penalty 1st downs
1
2
3rd Down %
23%
42%
3rd Down Conversions
3
5
3rd Down Attempts
13
12
Red Zone %
50%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
1
3
Red Zone Attempts
2
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
6
Interceptions
0
5
Fumbles
2
1
Turnover EPA
-0.05
-30.17
Sacks
3
1
Sack Yards
-20
-6
Sack EPA
-4.58
-2.36
Penalties
11
7
Penalty Yards
73
46
Penalty EPA
-10.85
-4.30
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
BUFBillsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Bills Offense vs Dolphins Defense
Total
Points / Game
7
20
Yards / Game
25
7
Passing Yards / Game
23
3
Rushing Yards / Game
12
30
EPA
EPA / Play
20
7
EPA / Pass
20
7
EPA / Rush
25
16
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
30
3
Interceptions / Game
17
19
Fumbles / Game
18
10
Turnover EPA / Game
14
8
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
20
4
4th Down Efficiency
19
29
RZ Efficiency
28
17
Dolphins Offense vs Bills Defense
Total
Points / Game
28
8
Yards / Game
29
2
Passing Yards / Game
16
5
Rushing Yards / Game
31
6
EPA
EPA / Play
31
1
EPA / Pass
31
2
EPA / Rush
28
2
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
12
13
Interceptions / Game
32
2
Fumbles / Game
23
3
Turnover EPA / Game
1
31
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
24
13
4th Down Efficiency
14
30
RZ Efficiency
24
4
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Bills
5-5
SU
7-3
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Dolphins
2-8
SU
4-6
ATS
0-0-10
O/U