BUFBills
2-3
17
TBD
Ford Field
70°F
020
DETLions
0-5
TBD
Ford Field
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Bills
0
10
0
7
17
Lions
10
7
0
3
20
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
242
397
Total Plays
60
66
Yards / Play
4.0
6.0
EPA / Play
-0.11
-0.07
Passing Yards
157
262
Comp/Att
21/34(62%)
24/36(67%)
Yards / Pass
4.6
7.3
EPA / Pass
-0.22
+0.09
Rushing Yards
85
135
Rush Attempts
21
27
Yards / Rush
4.0
5.0
EPA / Rush
-0.07
-0.12
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
16
21
Passing 1st downs
9
15
Rushing 1st downs
6
5
Penalty 1st downs
1
1
3rd Down %
27%
25%
3rd Down Conversions
3
3
3rd Down Attempts
11
12
Red Zone %
100%
33%
Red Zone Conversions
1
1
Red Zone Attempts
1
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
3
1
Interceptions
1
1
Fumbles
2
0
Turnover EPA
-8.79
-2.44
Sacks
5
3
Sack Yards
-50
-16
Sack EPA
-11.22
-5.65
Penalties
2
6
Penalty Yards
20
40
Penalty EPA
-1.76
-4.52
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
BUFBillsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Bills Offense vs Lions Defense
Total
Points / Game
23
30
Yards / Game
30
28
Passing Yards / Game
20
8
Rushing Yards / Game
27
21
EPA
EPA / Play
21
24
EPA / Pass
18
30
EPA / Rush
25
13
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
19
2
Interceptions / Game
11
25
Fumbles / Game
28
4
Turnover EPA / Game
16
21
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
31
27
4th Down Efficiency
20
32
RZ Efficiency
25
20
Lions Offense vs Bills Defense
Total
Points / Game
21
9
Yards / Game
22
18
Passing Yards / Game
1
6
Rushing Yards / Game
32
27
EPA
EPA / Play
26
10
EPA / Pass
21
9
EPA / Rush
30
29
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
6
6
Interceptions / Game
28
24
Fumbles / Game
31
25
Turnover EPA / Game
2
16
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
30
12
4th Down Efficiency
24
28
RZ Efficiency
30
20
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Bills
3-7
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Lions
1-9
SU
4-6
ATS
0-0-10
O/U