BUFBills
3-3
17
TBD
Ring Central Coliseum
59°F
038
OAKRaiders
1-4
TBD
Ring Central Coliseum
59°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Bills
7
3
0
7
17
Raiders
0
17
7
14
38
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
210
416
Total Plays
53
66
Yards / Play
4.0
6.3
EPA / Play
+0.04
+0.33
Passing Yards
126
254
Comp/Att
19/27(70%)
19/27(70%)
Yards / Pass
4.7
9.4
EPA / Pass
+0.14
+0.54
Rushing Yards
84
162
Rush Attempts
23
37
Yards / Rush
3.7
4.4
EPA / Rush
-0.34
+0.19
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
15
26
Passing 1st downs
10
12
Rushing 1st downs
3
12
Penalty 1st downs
2
2
3rd Down %
30%
64%
3rd Down Conversions
3
7
3rd Down Attempts
10
11
Red Zone %
67%
80%
Red Zone Conversions
2
4
Red Zone Attempts
3
5
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
1
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
1
1
Turnover EPA
-4.26
-4.68
Sacks
3
2
Sack Yards
-33
-7
Sack EPA
-5.25
-2.86
Penalties
7
8
Penalty Yards
51
53
Penalty EPA
-4.88
-6.21
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
BUFBillsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Bills Offense vs Raiders Defense
Total
Points / Game
24
25
Yards / Game
29
27
Passing Yards / Game
22
14
Rushing Yards / Game
21
25
EPA
EPA / Play
17
31
EPA / Pass
21
29
EPA / Rush
23
21
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
20
9
Interceptions / Game
17
32
Fumbles / Game
8
5
Turnover EPA / Game
22
3
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
21
28
4th Down Efficiency
24
6
RZ Efficiency
30
7
Raiders Offense vs Bills Defense
Total
Points / Game
23
24
Yards / Game
22
29
Passing Yards / Game
3
27
Rushing Yards / Game
29
30
EPA
EPA / Play
16
30
EPA / Pass
16
26
EPA / Rush
12
32
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
14
12
Interceptions / Game
11
11
Fumbles / Game
3
9
Turnover EPA / Game
18
21
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
12
32
4th Down Efficiency
12
23
RZ Efficiency
21
32
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Bills
6-4
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Raiders
2-8
SU
4-6
ATS
0-0-10
O/U