BUFBills
7-8
7
TBD
M&T Bank Stadium
46°F
10 mph
19
BALRavens
12-3
TBD
M&T Bank Stadium
46°F
10 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Bills
0
0
7
0
7
Ravens
3
3
4
3
13
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
253
327
Total Plays
52
66
Yards / Play
4.9
5.0
EPA / Play
-0.30
-0.05
Passing Yards
214
--
Comp/Att
20/35(57%)
23/36(64%)
Yards / Pass
6.1
--
EPA / Pass
-0.28
+0.05
Rushing Yards
39
111
Rush Attempts
14
30
Yards / Rush
2.8
3.7
EPA / Rush
-0.53
-0.23
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
10
18
Passing 1st downs
8
14
Rushing 1st downs
2
3
Penalty 1st downs
--
1
3rd Down %
38%
43%
3rd Down Conversions
5
6
3rd Down Attempts
13
14
Red Zone %
0%
0%
Red Zone Conversions
--
--
Red Zone Attempts
1
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
3
1
Interceptions
2
1
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-18.62
-3.99
Sacks
3
--
Sack Yards
-23
--
Sack EPA
-3.88
--
Penalties
3
5
Penalty Yards
19
--
Penalty EPA
-2.41
--
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
BUFBillsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Bills Offense vs Ravens Defense
Total
Points / Game
23
1
Yards / Game
30
1
Passing Yards / Game
20
24
Rushing Yards / Game
27
2
EPA
EPA / Play
21
2
EPA / Pass
18
1
EPA / Rush
25
2
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
19
31
Interceptions / Game
11
1
Fumbles / Game
28
13
Turnover EPA / Game
16
32
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
31
1
4th Down Efficiency
20
7
RZ Efficiency
25
1
Ravens Offense vs Bills Defense
Total
Points / Game
13
9
Yards / Game
16
18
Passing Yards / Game
30
6
Rushing Yards / Game
26
27
EPA
EPA / Play
16
10
EPA / Pass
9
9
EPA / Rush
28
29
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
31
6
Interceptions / Game
15
24
Fumbles / Game
12
25
Turnover EPA / Game
23
16
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
9
12
4th Down Efficiency
2
28
RZ Efficiency
28
20
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Bills
5-5
SU
7-3
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Ravens
8-2
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U