
BUFBills
-
TBD
NRG Stadium
70°F
0HOUTexans
-

TBD
NRG Stadium
70°F
0Model
Projected Winner

BUFBillsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Bills Offense vs Texans Defense


Total
Points / Game
2
1
Yards / Game
2
5
Passing Yards / Game
4
15
Rushing Yards / Game
1
12
EPA
EPA / Play
1
1
EPA / Pass
5
3
EPA / Rush
1
22
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
14
11
Interceptions / Game
2
17
Fumbles / Game
1
16
Turnover EPA / Game
32
12
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
7
13
4th Down Efficiency
7
10
RZ Efficiency
8
24
Texans Offense vs Bills Defense


Total
Points / Game
29
17
Yards / Game
25
11
Passing Yards / Game
17
1
Rushing Yards / Game
23
31
EPA
EPA / Play
27
25
EPA / Pass
26
11
EPA / Rush
11
28
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
22
21
Interceptions / Game
17
17
Fumbles / Game
18
9
Turnover EPA / Game
17
22
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
31
25
4th Down Efficiency
5
21
RZ Efficiency
31
21
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

Bills
8-2
SU
5-5
ATS
7-3
O/U

Texans
4-6
SU
5-5
ATS
3-7
O/U