BUFBills
11-5
16
TBD
Nissan Stadium
40°F
3 mph
22
TENTitans
13-3
TBD
Nissan Stadium
40°F
3 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Bills
0
0
7
9
16
Titans
0
10
0
10
20
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
220
194
Total Plays
56
66
Yards / Play
3.9
2.9
EPA / Play
-0.10
-0.02
Passing Yards
97
55
Comp/Att
10/23(43%)
13/24(54%)
Yards / Pass
4.2
2.3
EPA / Pass
-0.53
-0.60
Rushing Yards
123
139
Rush Attempts
27
39
Yards / Rush
4.6
3.6
EPA / Rush
+0.18
-0.11
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
13
16
Passing 1st downs
6
5
Rushing 1st downs
6
8
Penalty 1st downs
1
3
3rd Down %
38%
25%
3rd Down Conversions
5
4
3rd Down Attempts
13
16
Red Zone %
100%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
2
1
Red Zone Attempts
2
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
2
Interceptions
0
1
Fumbles
1
1
Turnover EPA
-4.93
-6.60
Sacks
6
3
Sack Yards
-34
-21
Sack EPA
-10.93
-4.70
Penalties
10
2
Penalty Yards
59
12
Penalty EPA
-5.64
-2.21
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
BUFBillsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Bills Offense vs Titans Defense
Total
Points / Game
15
10
Yards / Game
15
17
Passing Yards / Game
23
17
Rushing Yards / Game
7
8
EPA
EPA / Play
12
18
EPA / Pass
9
24
EPA / Rush
18
3
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
13
29
Interceptions / Game
8
22
Fumbles / Game
10
3
Turnover EPA / Game
21
26
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
3
14
4th Down Efficiency
9
2
RZ Efficiency
16
19
Titans Offense vs Bills Defense
Total
Points / Game
9
3
Yards / Game
16
1
Passing Yards / Game
28
1
Rushing Yards / Game
10
5
EPA
EPA / Play
6
5
EPA / Pass
12
3
EPA / Rush
6
6
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
29
26
Interceptions / Game
1
27
Fumbles / Game
20
23
Turnover EPA / Game
29
6
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
14
2
4th Down Efficiency
5
9
RZ Efficiency
3
5
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Bills
7-3
SU
5-4-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Titans
8-2
SU
7-2-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U