DENBroncos
-
15
TBD
New Era Field
70°F
5 mph
14
BUFBills
-
TBD
New Era Field
70°F
5 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Broncos
3
3
6
3
15
Bills
1
0
7
0
8
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
470
184
Total Plays
73
49
Yards / Play
6.4
3.8
EPA / Play
-0.02
-0.11
Passing Yards
299
72
Comp/Att
23/40(57%)
14/21(67%)
Yards / Pass
7.5
3.4
EPA / Pass
+0.21
-0.37
Rushing Yards
171
112
Rush Attempts
32
26
Yards / Rush
5.3
4.3
EPA / Rush
+0.06
+0.13
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
23
13
Passing 1st downs
16
5
Rushing 1st downs
7
7
Penalty 1st downs
--
1
3rd Down %
31%
27%
3rd Down Conversions
4
3
3rd Down Attempts
13
11
Red Zone %
50%
0%
Red Zone Conversions
1
--
Red Zone Attempts
2
1
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
1
Interceptions
1
1
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
-4.49
-0.84
Sacks
1
2
Sack Yards
-5
-25
Sack EPA
-1.36
-3.35
Penalties
3
5
Penalty Yards
31
--
Penalty EPA
-4.73
--
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
DENBroncosFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Broncos Offense vs Bills Defense
Total
Points / Game
21
18
Yards / Game
10
31
Passing Yards / Game
3
18
Rushing Yards / Game
8
25
EPA
EPA / Play
15
27
EPA / Pass
11
28
EPA / Rush
10
19
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
16
23
Interceptions / Game
9
8
Fumbles / Game
24
18
Turnover EPA / Game
14
21
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
14
29
4th Down Efficiency
30
10
RZ Efficiency
21
4
Bills Offense vs Broncos Defense
Total
Points / Game
30
28
Yards / Game
30
19
Passing Yards / Game
32
4
Rushing Yards / Game
16
30
EPA
EPA / Play
24
31
EPA / Pass
31
31
EPA / Rush
16
27
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
3
17
Interceptions / Game
6
24
Fumbles / Game
8
3
Turnover EPA / Game
27
11
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
30
26
4th Down Efficiency
16
31
RZ Efficiency
30
23
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Broncos
4-6
SU
2-8
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Bills
5-5
SU
7-3
ATS
0-0-10
O/U