DENBroncos
-
16
TBD
Lumen Field
70°F
017
SEASeahawks
-
TBD
Lumen Field
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Broncos
3
10
0
3
16
Seahawks
7
10
0
0
17
Spread
+6.5
Total
UNDER
44
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
433
253
Total Plays
64
49
Yards / Play
6.8
5.2
EPA / Play
+0.07
+0.10
Passing Yards
330
177
Comp/Att
29/42(69%)
23/28(82%)
Yards / Pass
7.9
6.3
EPA / Pass
+0.36
+0.08
Rushing Yards
103
76
Rush Attempts
20
19
Yards / Rush
5.2
4.0
EPA / Rush
-0.49
-0.12
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
20
19
Passing 1st downs
13
9
Rushing 1st downs
5
3
Penalty 1st downs
2
7
3rd Down %
53%
55%
3rd Down Conversions
8
6
3rd Down Attempts
15
11
Red Zone %
0%
0%
Red Zone Conversions
--
--
Red Zone Attempts
4
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
1
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
2
1
Turnover EPA
-11.39
-6.57
Sacks
2
2
Sack Yards
-10
-18
Sack EPA
-1.76
-3.55
Penalties
12
5
Penalty Yards
106
77
Penalty EPA
-12.28
-8.02
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
DENBroncosFavored
Opening
-7.0
Current
-6.5
Model
-3.0
Win Probability
Market71.4%
Model61.0%
Spread Pick
Seahawks+6.5
Expected Value
+20.4%
Cover Probability
63.1%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+18
Home nfelo
1,482
Away nfelo
1,503
Home Field
+56.1
Base HFA
+36.8
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+12.8
Time Adj
+6.6
Net QB Adjustment
-17.6
Home QB Adjustment
-10.4
Away QB Adjustment
+7.2
Market Regression
+13.3
Final Difference
-77.7
Model Spread
+3.0
Quarterbacks
R. Wilson
Proj. Value
+0.4
Team Elo Adj
+7.2
E. Smith
Proj. Value
+0.5
Team Elo Adj
-10.4
Team Matchup Ranks
Broncos Offense vs Seahawks Defense
Total
Points / Game
32
25
Yards / Game
21
28
Passing Yards / Game
9
23
Rushing Yards / Game
21
30
EPA
EPA / Play
28
29
EPA / Pass
29
25
EPA / Rush
27
25
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
9
9
Interceptions / Game
22
16
Fumbles / Game
11
7
Turnover EPA / Game
12
10
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
32
27
4th Down Efficiency
16
3
RZ Efficiency
14
23
Seahawks Offense vs Broncos Defense
Total
Points / Game
10
12
Yards / Game
13
8
Passing Yards / Game
8
9
Rushing Yards / Game
18
10
EPA
EPA / Play
10
13
EPA / Pass
15
7
EPA / Rush
16
14
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
22
1
Interceptions / Game
12
11
Fumbles / Game
27
20
Turnover EPA / Game
6
14
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
20
2
4th Down Efficiency
6
30
RZ Efficiency
27
8
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Broncos
4-6
SU
5-5
ATS
3-7
O/U
Seahawks
5-5
SU
5-5
ATS
5-5
O/U