DENBroncos
-
20
TBD
Lumen Field
65°F
7 mph
26
SEASeahawks
-
TBD
Lumen Field
65°F
7 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Broncos
3
6
0
7
16
Seahawks
3
6
10
7
26
Spread
+6.5
Total
OVER
42.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
231
304
Total Plays
69
61
Yards / Play
3.3
5.0
EPA / Play
-0.18
-0.07
Passing Yards
132
158
Comp/Att
26/42(62%)
18/26(69%)
Yards / Pass
3.1
6.1
EPA / Pass
-0.50
-0.22
Rushing Yards
99
146
Rush Attempts
25
33
Yards / Rush
4.0
4.4
EPA / Rush
-0.02
+0.03
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
13
19
Passing 1st downs
6
11
Rushing 1st downs
7
5
Penalty 1st downs
--
3
3rd Down %
28%
33%
3rd Down Conversions
5
4
3rd Down Attempts
18
12
Red Zone %
25%
0%
Red Zone Conversions
1
--
Red Zone Attempts
4
1
Negative Plays
Turnovers
4
1
Interceptions
2
1
Fumbles
2
0
Turnover EPA
-4.95
-4.80
Sacks
2
2
Sack Yards
-6
-13
Sack EPA
-1.16
-2.37
Penalties
8
6
Penalty Yards
60
--
Penalty EPA
-4.73
--
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
SEASeahawksFavored
Opening
-6.0
Current
-6.5
Model
-6.5
Win Probability
Market71.0%
Model71.0%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+148
Home nfelo
1,528
Away nfelo
1,451
Home Field
+54.1
Base HFA
+46.3
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+16.1
Time Adj
-8.3
Net QB Adjustment
+17.0
Home QB Adjustment
+1.9
Away QB Adjustment
-15.1
Market Regression
+14.1
Final Difference
155.5
Model Spread
-6.5
Quarterbacks
B. Nix
Proj. Value
+1.3
Team Elo Adj
-15.1
No recent game data available
E. Smith
Proj. Value
-0.5
Team Elo Adj
+1.9
Team Matchup Ranks
Broncos Offense vs Seahawks Defense
Total
Points / Game
10
13
Yards / Game
22
13
Passing Yards / Game
27
9
Rushing Yards / Game
17
16
EPA
EPA / Play
12
10
EPA / Pass
16
8
EPA / Rush
15
15
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
32
5
Interceptions / Game
15
13
Fumbles / Game
12
19
Turnover EPA / Game
25
19
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
18
10
4th Down Efficiency
9
6
RZ Efficiency
8
8
Seahawks Offense vs Broncos Defense
Total
Points / Game
17
3
Yards / Game
15
10
Passing Yards / Game
4
30
Rushing Yards / Game
28
5
EPA
EPA / Play
20
3
EPA / Pass
21
2
EPA / Rush
18
4
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
23
29
Interceptions / Game
26
11
Fumbles / Game
6
13
Turnover EPA / Game
10
31
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
21
13
4th Down Efficiency
21
15
RZ Efficiency
14
1
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Broncos
6-4
SU
5-5
ATS
4-6
O/U
Seahawks
4-6
SU
4-5-1
ATS
4-6
O/U