CLEBrowns
0-1
17
TBD
Paycor Stadium
79°F
4 mph
34
CINBengals
1-0
TBD
Paycor Stadium
79°F
4 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Browns
3
0
0
14
17
Bengals
14
3
0
17
34
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
301
481
Total Plays
53
76
Yards / Play
5.7
6.3
EPA / Play
-0.18
+0.07
Passing Yards
--
321
Comp/Att
20/33(61%)
24/40(60%)
Yards / Pass
--
8.0
EPA / Pass
-0.10
+0.13
Rushing Yards
57
160
Rush Attempts
20
32
Yards / Rush
2.9
5.0
EPA / Rush
-0.36
+0.12
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
17
27
Passing 1st downs
8
18
Rushing 1st downs
6
8
Penalty 1st downs
3
1
3rd Down %
20%
53%
3rd Down Conversions
2
8
3rd Down Attempts
10
15
Red Zone %
67%
60%
Red Zone Conversions
2
3
Red Zone Attempts
3
5
Negative Plays
Turnovers
3
2
Interceptions
2
2
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-13.92
-9.76
Sacks
--
4
Sack Yards
--
-31
Sack EPA
--
-5.39
Penalties
2
9
Penalty Yards
27
49
Penalty EPA
-1.65
-7.17
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
CLEBrownsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Browns Offense vs Bengals Defense
Total
Points / Game
30
15
Yards / Game
31
31
Passing Yards / Game
25
19
Rushing Yards / Game
30
14
EPA
EPA / Play
29
26
EPA / Pass
30
29
EPA / Rush
31
17
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
8
13
Interceptions / Game
32
8
Fumbles / Game
28
27
Turnover EPA / Game
3
20
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
27
22
4th Down Efficiency
25
18
RZ Efficiency
18
25
Bengals Offense vs Browns Defense
Total
Points / Game
8
23
Yards / Game
8
27
Passing Yards / Game
6
16
Rushing Yards / Game
25
29
EPA
EPA / Play
5
20
EPA / Pass
5
24
EPA / Rush
18
11
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
17
3
Interceptions / Game
7
10
Fumbles / Game
26
22
Turnover EPA / Game
28
12
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
24
29
4th Down Efficiency
6
8
RZ Efficiency
6
17
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Browns
4-6
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Bengals
6-4
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U