CLEBrowns
3-7
48
TBD
Paycor Stadium
38°F
13 mph
58
CINBengals
4-6
TBD
Paycor Stadium
38°F
13 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Browns
10
3
21
14
48
Bengals
14
13
14
11
52
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
462
504
Total Plays
59
61
Yards / Play
7.8
8.3
EPA / Play
+0.24
+0.29
Passing Yards
386
--
Comp/Att
30/39(77%)
22/29(76%)
Yards / Pass
9.9
--
EPA / Pass
+0.31
-0.06
Rushing Yards
76
253
Rush Attempts
17
32
Yards / Rush
4.5
7.9
EPA / Rush
-0.04
+0.52
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
23
26
Passing 1st downs
17
11
Rushing 1st downs
4
12
Penalty 1st downs
2
3
3rd Down %
33%
64%
3rd Down Conversions
4
7
3rd Down Attempts
12
11
Red Zone %
67%
57%
Red Zone Conversions
4
4
Red Zone Attempts
6
7
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
3
Interceptions
2
3
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
-10.57
-18.25
Sacks
3
--
Sack Yards
-27
--
Sack EPA
-4.47
--
Penalties
12
8
Penalty Yards
87
63
Penalty EPA
-11.58
-7.59
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
CLEBrownsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Browns Offense vs Bengals Defense
Total
Points / Game
27
21
Yards / Game
28
17
Passing Yards / Game
20
26
Rushing Yards / Game
23
25
EPA
EPA / Play
28
10
EPA / Pass
27
9
EPA / Rush
31
15
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
5
26
Interceptions / Game
25
8
Fumbles / Game
32
6
Turnover EPA / Game
4
27
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
31
15
4th Down Efficiency
23
6
RZ Efficiency
26
9
Bengals Offense vs Browns Defense
Total
Points / Game
10
24
Yards / Game
18
14
Passing Yards / Game
30
2
Rushing Yards / Game
16
32
EPA
EPA / Play
23
17
EPA / Pass
22
12
EPA / Rush
21
25
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
14
11
Interceptions / Game
29
19
Fumbles / Game
21
21
Turnover EPA / Game
6
9
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
11
14
4th Down Efficiency
14
14
RZ Efficiency
19
25
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Browns
3-7
SU
4-6
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Bengals
4-6
SU
3-7
ATS
0-0-10
O/U