CLEBrowns
2-5
19
TBD
Empower Field at Mile High
55°F
4 mph
24
DENBroncos
2-6
TBD
Empower Field at Mile High
55°F
4 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Browns
0
12
0
7
19
Broncos
7
10
7
0
24
Spread
+4
Total
OVER
39
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
351
302
Total Plays
73
43
Yards / Play
4.8
7.0
EPA / Play
-0.00
+0.06
Passing Yards
261
175
Comp/Att
27/42(64%)
12/20(60%)
Yards / Pass
6.2
8.8
EPA / Pass
+0.17
-0.09
Rushing Yards
90
127
Rush Attempts
29
20
Yards / Rush
3.1
6.3
EPA / Rush
-0.32
+0.15
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
21
13
Passing 1st downs
13
6
Rushing 1st downs
5
5
Penalty 1st downs
3
2
3rd Down %
40%
33%
3rd Down Conversions
6
3
3rd Down Attempts
15
9
Red Zone %
20%
NaN%
Red Zone Conversions
1
--
Red Zone Attempts
5
--
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
1
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
--
-4.60
Sacks
2
3
Sack Yards
-12
-18
Sack EPA
-2.54
-3.93
Penalties
5
7
Penalty Yards
--
55
Penalty EPA
--
-6.67
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
CLEBrownsFavored
Opening
+1.5
Current
-4.0
Model
-4.0
Win Probability
Market65.2%
Model65.2%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-47
Home nfelo
1,460
Away nfelo
1,492
Home Field
+69.0
Base HFA
+50.8
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
+18.2
Net QB Adjustment
-84.0
Home QB Adjustment
-102.6
Away QB Adjustment
-18.6
Market Regression
-93.4
Final Difference
-109.1
Model Spread
+4.0
Quarterbacks
B. Mayfield
Proj. Value
+3.0
Team Elo Adj
-18.6
B. Allen
Proj. Value
-2.6
Team Elo Adj
-102.6
No recent game data available
Team Matchup Ranks
Browns Offense vs Broncos Defense
Total
Points / Game
22
8
Yards / Game
18
12
Passing Yards / Game
14
6
Rushing Yards / Game
12
16
EPA
EPA / Play
22
15
EPA / Pass
20
14
EPA / Rush
17
19
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
13
17
Interceptions / Game
30
25
Fumbles / Game
2
28
Turnover EPA / Game
7
4
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
22
11
4th Down Efficiency
23
15
RZ Efficiency
13
1
Broncos Offense vs Browns Defense
Total
Points / Game
28
20
Yards / Game
28
21
Passing Yards / Game
31
10
Rushing Yards / Game
20
29
EPA
EPA / Play
24
20
EPA / Pass
25
15
EPA / Rush
18
29
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
15
17
Interceptions / Game
12
10
Fumbles / Game
4
25
Turnover EPA / Game
26
16
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
30
12
4th Down Efficiency
1
4
RZ Efficiency
27
20
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Browns
4-6
SU
4-6
ATS
4-5-1
O/U
Broncos
2-8
SU
4-6
ATS
2-8
O/U