CLEBrowns
0-4
27
TBD
MetLife Stadium
51°F
2 mph
41
NYGGiants
2-2
TBD
MetLife Stadium
51°F
2 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Browns
14
3
3
7
27
Giants
7
20
7
7
41
Spread
-8
Total
OVER
44
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
375
502
Total Plays
54
71
Yards / Play
6.9
7.1
EPA / Play
+0.16
+0.28
Passing Yards
--
--
Comp/Att
22/35(63%)
25/37(68%)
Yards / Pass
--
--
EPA / Pass
+0.17
+0.25
Rushing Yards
84
243
Rush Attempts
19
34
Yards / Rush
4.4
7.1
EPA / Rush
+0.08
+0.12
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
15
30
Passing 1st downs
11
12
Rushing 1st downs
3
14
Penalty 1st downs
1
4
3rd Down %
25%
55%
3rd Down Conversions
3
6
3rd Down Attempts
12
11
Red Zone %
33%
60%
Red Zone Conversions
1
3
Red Zone Attempts
3
5
Negative Plays
Turnovers
3
2
Interceptions
2
1
Fumbles
1
1
Turnover EPA
-14.43
-8.24
Sacks
--
--
Sack Yards
--
--
Sack EPA
--
--
Penalties
10
3
Penalty Yards
91
25
Penalty EPA
-10.05
-2.09
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
NYGGiantsFavored
Opening
-11.0
Current
-8.0
Model
-11.0
Win Probability
Market75.7%
Model81.3%
Spread Pick
Giants-8.0
Expected Value
+22.7%
Cover Probability
62.9%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+303
Home nfelo
1,577
Away nfelo
1,379
Home Field
+84.3
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+21.8
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
+20.7
Home QB Adjustment
+15.9
Away QB Adjustment
-4.8
Market Regression
-12.9
Final Difference
255.9
Model Spread
-11.0
Quarterbacks
B. Weeden
Proj. Value
-1.9
Team Elo Adj
-4.8
E. Manning
Proj. Value
-1.3
Team Elo Adj
+15.9
Team Matchup Ranks
Browns Offense vs Giants Defense
Total
Points / Game
24
10
Yards / Game
25
31
Passing Yards / Game
24
13
Rushing Yards / Game
24
24
EPA
EPA / Play
26
20
EPA / Pass
27
22
EPA / Rush
13
17
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
20
32
Interceptions / Game
27
3
Fumbles / Game
3
12
Turnover EPA / Game
17
30
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
30
30
4th Down Efficiency
21
17
RZ Efficiency
30
4
Giants Offense vs Browns Defense
Total
Points / Game
5
19
Yards / Game
16
22
Passing Yards / Game
32
20
Rushing Yards / Game
14
18
EPA
EPA / Play
3
12
EPA / Pass
12
18
EPA / Rush
7
11
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
10
15
Interceptions / Game
14
11
Fumbles / Game
13
5
Turnover EPA / Game
24
17
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
11
14
4th Down Efficiency
17
27
RZ Efficiency
13
23
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Browns
0-10
SU
7-2-1
ATS
2-7-1
O/U
Giants
8-2
SU
7-3
ATS
2-8
O/U