CLEBrowns
3-4
3
TBD
Gillette Stadium
62°F
15 mph
9
NEPatriots
5-2
TBD
Gillette Stadium
62°F
15 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Browns
0
3
0
0
3
Patriots
3
0
3
3
9
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
203
347
Total Plays
59
64
Yards / Play
3.4
5.4
EPA / Play
-0.11
-0.02
Passing Yards
119
253
Comp/Att
22/36(61%)
20/33(61%)
Yards / Pass
3.3
7.7
EPA / Pass
-0.26
+0.01
Rushing Yards
84
94
Rush Attempts
19
30
Yards / Rush
4.4
3.1
EPA / Rush
+0.12
-0.11
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
13
19
Passing 1st downs
8
10
Rushing 1st downs
5
7
Penalty 1st downs
--
2
3rd Down %
21%
29%
3rd Down Conversions
3
4
3rd Down Attempts
14
14
Red Zone %
0%
0%
Red Zone Conversions
--
--
Red Zone Attempts
1
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
0
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
-1.00
--
Sacks
4
1
Sack Yards
-36
-6
Sack EPA
-5.94
-1.40
Penalties
5
3
Penalty Yards
25
--
Penalty EPA
-2.69
--
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
CLEBrownsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Browns Offense vs Patriots Defense
Total
Points / Game
29
1
Yards / Game
26
7
Passing Yards / Game
29
27
Rushing Yards / Game
20
3
EPA
EPA / Play
23
2
EPA / Pass
25
3
EPA / Rush
27
14
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
14
25
Interceptions / Game
17
1
Fumbles / Game
25
22
Turnover EPA / Game
3
31
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
16
8
4th Down Efficiency
28
6
RZ Efficiency
24
7
Patriots Offense vs Browns Defense
Total
Points / Game
11
13
Yards / Game
15
15
Passing Yards / Game
18
15
Rushing Yards / Game
26
22
EPA
EPA / Play
15
21
EPA / Pass
9
16
EPA / Rush
29
24
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
29
13
Interceptions / Game
5
15
Fumbles / Game
18
27
Turnover EPA / Game
26
2
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
13
21
4th Down Efficiency
8
26
RZ Efficiency
28
3
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Browns
5-5
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Patriots
6-4
SU
7-3
ATS
0-0-10
O/U