CLEBrowns
0-1
17
TBD
M&T Bank Stadium
82°F
3 mph
41
BALRavens
0-1
TBD
M&T Bank Stadium
82°F
3 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Browns
0
3
7
7
17
Ravens
3
7
10
15
35
Spread
-12.5
Total
OVER
46.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
322
242
Total Plays
72
53
Yards / Play
4.5
4.6
EPA / Play
-0.29
+0.15
Passing Yards
207
197
Comp/Att
28/48(58%)
19/29(66%)
Yards / Pass
4.3
6.8
EPA / Pass
-0.49
+0.32
Rushing Yards
115
45
Rush Attempts
22
21
Yards / Rush
5.2
2.1
EPA / Rush
+0.20
-0.15
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
17
14
Passing 1st downs
10
10
Rushing 1st downs
7
2
Penalty 1st downs
--
2
3rd Down %
39%
25%
3rd Down Conversions
7
3
3rd Down Attempts
18
12
Red Zone %
100%
75%
Red Zone Conversions
2
3
Red Zone Attempts
2
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
0
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-15.63
--
Sacks
2
3
Sack Yards
-11
-28
Sack EPA
-9.27
-4.86
Penalties
6
6
Penalty Yards
42
28
Penalty EPA
-4.20
-5.11
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
BALRavensFavored
Opening
-12.5
Current
-12.5
Model
-12.5
Win Probability
Market84.1%
Model84.1%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+301
Home nfelo
1,665
Away nfelo
1,394
Home Field
+21.2
Base HFA
+38.6
Divisional Adj
-17.4
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
+8.5
Home QB Adjustment
+12.7
Away QB Adjustment
+4.2
Market Regression
--
Final Difference
289.4
Model Spread
-12.5
Quarterbacks
J. Flacco
Proj. Value
-0.3
Team Elo Adj
+4.2
L. Jackson
Proj. Value
+3.2
Team Elo Adj
+12.7
Team Matchup Ranks
Browns Offense vs Ravens Defense
Total
Points / Game
29
24
Yards / Game
31
26
Passing Yards / Game
25
29
Rushing Yards / Game
26
20
EPA
EPA / Play
32
19
EPA / Pass
32
19
EPA / Rush
18
21
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
28
7
Interceptions / Game
26
18
Fumbles / Game
6
10
Turnover EPA / Game
19
18
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
30
10
4th Down Efficiency
18
20
RZ Efficiency
24
15
Ravens Offense vs Browns Defense
Total
Points / Game
10
18
Yards / Game
21
2
Passing Yards / Game
16
1
Rushing Yards / Game
4
14
EPA
EPA / Play
14
5
EPA / Pass
21
10
EPA / Rush
6
2
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
4
10
Interceptions / Game
16
8
Fumbles / Game
20
19
Turnover EPA / Game
7
26
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
13
8
4th Down Efficiency
26
15
RZ Efficiency
29
7
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Browns
1-9
SU
2-8
ATS
4-6
O/U
Ravens
6-4
SU
6-4
ATS
6-4
O/U