CLEBrowns
0-1
17
TBD
M&T Bank Stadium
82°F
3 mph
41
BALRavens
0-1
TBD
M&T Bank Stadium
82°F
3 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Browns
0
3
7
7
17
Ravens
3
7
10
15
35
Spread
-12.5
Total
OVER
46.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
322
242
Total Plays
72
53
Yards / Play
4.5
4.6
EPA / Play
-0.29
+0.15
Passing Yards
207
197
Comp/Att
28/48(58%)
19/29(66%)
Yards / Pass
4.3
6.8
EPA / Pass
-0.49
+0.32
Rushing Yards
115
45
Rush Attempts
22
21
Yards / Rush
5.2
2.1
EPA / Rush
+0.20
-0.15
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
17
14
Passing 1st downs
10
10
Rushing 1st downs
7
2
Penalty 1st downs
--
2
3rd Down %
39%
25%
3rd Down Conversions
7
3
3rd Down Attempts
18
12
Red Zone %
100%
75%
Red Zone Conversions
2
3
Red Zone Attempts
2
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
0
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-15.63
--
Sacks
2
3
Sack Yards
-11
-28
Sack EPA
-9.27
-4.86
Penalties
6
6
Penalty Yards
42
28
Penalty EPA
-4.20
-5.11
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
BALRavensFavored
Opening
-12.5
Current
-12.5
Model
-12.5
Win Probability
Market84.1%
Model84.1%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+301
Home nfelo
1,665
Away nfelo
1,394
Home Field
+21.2
Base HFA
+38.6
Divisional Adj
-17.4
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
+8.5
Home QB Adjustment
+12.7
Away QB Adjustment
+4.2
Market Regression
--
Final Difference
289.4
Model Spread
-12.5
Quarterbacks
J. Flacco
Proj. Value
-2.3
Team Elo Adj
+4.2
L. Jackson
Proj. Value
+3.7
Team Elo Adj
+12.7
Team Matchup Ranks
Browns Offense vs Ravens Defense
Total
Points / Game
31
32
Yards / Game
27
31
Passing Yards / Game
12
24
Rushing Yards / Game
30
27
EPA
EPA / Play
32
29
EPA / Pass
30
23
EPA / Rush
10
30
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
22
3
Interceptions / Game
31
24
Fumbles / Game
18
16
Turnover EPA / Game
2
16
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
21
24
4th Down Efficiency
20
27
RZ Efficiency
8
28
Ravens Offense vs Browns Defense
Total
Points / Game
3
24
Yards / Game
13
1
Passing Yards / Game
10
4
Rushing Yards / Game
9
1
EPA
EPA / Play
3
11
EPA / Pass
9
21
EPA / Rush
3
4
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
2
13
Interceptions / Game
2
17
Fumbles / Game
25
25
Turnover EPA / Game
15
5
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
12
28
4th Down Efficiency
28
10
RZ Efficiency
19
28
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Browns
1-9
SU
2-8
ATS
4-6
O/U
Ravens
6-4
SU
6-4
ATS
6-4
O/U