nfelo logo

nfelo

Live
Platform
Kalshi
$10

$10 Bonus

Receive $10 when you sign up with Kalshi prediction market

Affiliate Disclosure: Some of the links and placements on this site may be affiliate links or paid partnerships. This means nfelo may receive compensation when you click these links or sign up for a partner’s service.

Offer Disclosure: Offers are for informational purposes only. Age, location, and other restrictions may apply. nfelo does not validate offer availability. See provider for full terms.

  1. nfelo...
  2. predictions...
  3. browns @ ravens week 2, 2025

Game Summary

Spread
Total

Model

Quarterbacks

Matchup

nfelo logo

nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

© 2026 nfelo. All rights reserved.

Entertainment purposes only. The information contained on nfeloapp.com is not intended to be, and shall not be construed as, gambling advice, financial advice, or any other professional advice or service. nfeloapp.com and its owners assume no responsibility for errors or omissions. Please gamble responsibly.

CLE logo
CLEBrowns
0-1
17
TBD
M&T Bank Stadium
82°F
3 mph
41
BALRavens
0-1
BAL logo
TBD
M&T Bank Stadium
82°F
3 mph

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Browns
0
3
7
7
17
Ravens
3
7
10
15
35

Spread

BAL logo
-12.5

Total

OVER
46.5

Game Statistics

General
Browns logo
Ravens logo
Total Yards
322
242
Total Plays
72
53
Yards / Play
4.5
4.6
EPA / Play
-0.29
+0.15
Passing Yards
207
197
Comp/Att
28/48(58%)
19/29(66%)
Yards / Pass
4.3
6.8
EPA / Pass
-0.49
+0.32
Rushing Yards
115
45
Rush Attempts
22
21
Yards / Rush
5.2
2.1
EPA / Rush
+0.20
-0.15
Downs & Conversions
Browns logo
Ravens logo
1st Downs
17
14
Passing 1st downs
10
10
Rushing 1st downs
7
2
Penalty 1st downs
--
2
3rd Down %
39%
25%
3rd Down Conversions
7
3
3rd Down Attempts
18
12
Red Zone %
100%
75%
Red Zone Conversions
2
3
Red Zone Attempts
2
4
Negative Plays
Browns logo
Ravens logo
Turnovers
2
0
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-15.63
--
Sacks
2
3
Sack Yards
-11
-28
Sack EPA
-9.27
-4.86
Penalties
6
6
Penalty Yards
42
28
Penalty EPA
-4.20
-5.11

Game Preview

nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game

Model

Projected Winner
BAL logo
BALRavensFavored
Opening
-12.5
Current
-12.5
Model
-12.5

Win Probability

Market84.1%
Model84.1%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+295
Home nfelo
1,662
Away nfelo
1,396
Home Field
+21.1
Base HFA
+38.4
Divisional Adj
-17.3
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
+8.5
Home QB Adjustment
+12.7
Away QB Adjustment
+4.2
Market Regression
--
Final Difference
289.4
Model Spread
-12.5

Quarterbacks

J. Flacco headshot

J. Flacco

Proj. Value
-0.8
Team Elo Adj
+4.2
Value
Ptile
12/24
4.6
79
12/28
6.1
87
01/13
-1.1
43
10/06
6.6
87
10/13
-0.6
45
11/03
-7.3
7
11/10
-3.1
27
12/29
0.3
50
01/05
-3.6
24
09/07
-1.1
41
L. Jackson headshot

L. Jackson

Proj. Value
+0.4
Team Elo Adj
+12.7
Value
Ptile
11/17
-1.3
39
11/25
3.7
73
12/01
5.9
83
12/15
13.4
99
12/21
3.3
72
12/25
9.8
96
01/04
5.8
83
01/11
7.2
91
01/19
4.3
77
09/07
8.0
94

Team Matchup Ranks

Browns Offense vs Ravens Defense
Browns logo
Ravens logo

Total

Points / Game
31
18
Yards / Game
30
25
Passing Yards / Game
20
29
Rushing Yards / Game
27
11

EPA

EPA / Play
32
14
EPA / Pass
32
21
EPA / Rush
27
4

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
30
11
Interceptions / Game
30
15
Fumbles / Game
6
4
Turnover EPA / Game
5
21

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
30
9
4th Down Efficiency
31
19
RZ Efficiency
24
5
Ravens Offense vs Browns Defense
Ravens logo
Browns logo

Total

Points / Game
11
14
Yards / Game
16
2
Passing Yards / Game
19
3
Rushing Yards / Game
1
14

EPA

EPA / Play
14
3
EPA / Pass
25
4
EPA / Rush
1
2

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
3
8
Interceptions / Game
11
17
Fumbles / Game
28
19
Turnover EPA / Game
7
10

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
12
7
4th Down Efficiency
17
3
RZ Efficiency
29
14

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

CLE logo

Browns

1-9
SU
2-8
ATS
4-6
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
11/03
-17
L
L
U
11/17
-21
L
L
O
11/21
5
W
W
O
12/02
-9
L
L
O
12/08
-13
L
L
U
12/15
-14
L
L
U
12/22
-18
L
L
U
12/29
-17
L
L
U
01/04
-25
L
L
O
09/07
-1
L
W
U
BAL logo

Ravens

6-4
SU
6-4
ATS
6-4
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
11/17
-2
L
L
U
11/25
7
W
W
O
12/01
-5
L
L
U
12/15
21
W
W
O
12/21
17
W
W
O
12/25
29
W
W
U
01/04
25
W
W
O
01/11
14
W
W
U
01/19
-2
L
L
O
09/07
-1
L
L
O