TBBuccaneers
1-0
34
TBD
MetLife Stadium
73°F
1 mph
41
NYGGiants
0-1
TBD
MetLife Stadium
73°F
1 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Buccaneers
3
15
3
7
28
Giants
6
7
3
25
41
Spread
+7.5
Total
OVER
43.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
307
606
Total Plays
52
77
Yards / Play
5.9
7.9
EPA / Play
+0.14
+0.15
Passing Yards
228
--
Comp/Att
15/28(54%)
31/51(61%)
Yards / Pass
8.1
--
EPA / Pass
+0.20
+0.14
Rushing Yards
79
96
Rush Attempts
22
26
Yards / Rush
3.6
3.7
EPA / Rush
-0.13
+0.04
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
14
31
Passing 1st downs
10
21
Rushing 1st downs
4
6
Penalty 1st downs
--
4
3rd Down %
20%
38%
3rd Down Conversions
2
5
3rd Down Attempts
10
13
Red Zone %
100%
20%
Red Zone Conversions
1
1
Red Zone Attempts
1
5
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
3
Interceptions
2
3
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
-4.44
-19.20
Sacks
2
--
Sack Yards
-15
--
Sack EPA
-3.19
--
Penalties
5
7
Penalty Yards
33
53
Penalty EPA
-5.10
-9.83
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
NYGGiantsFavored
Opening
-9.0
Current
-7.5
Model
-9.0
Win Probability
Market74.4%
Model77.8%
Spread Pick
Giants-7.5
Expected Value
+5.5%
Cover Probability
55.3%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+253
Home nfelo
1,578
Away nfelo
1,420
Home Field
+84.3
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+21.8
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
+10.0
Home QB Adjustment
+6.3
Away QB Adjustment
-3.7
Market Regression
+0.5
Final Difference
217.4
Model Spread
-9.0
Quarterbacks
J. Freeman
Proj. Value
-3.2
Team Elo Adj
-3.7
E. Manning
Proj. Value
-1.3
Team Elo Adj
+6.3
Team Matchup Ranks
Buccaneers Offense vs Giants Defense
Total
Points / Game
12
10
Yards / Game
12
31
Passing Yards / Game
7
13
Rushing Yards / Game
16
24
EPA
EPA / Play
15
20
EPA / Pass
15
22
EPA / Rush
9
17
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
3
32
Interceptions / Game
22
3
Fumbles / Game
3
12
Turnover EPA / Game
21
30
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
25
30
4th Down Efficiency
23
17
RZ Efficiency
8
4
Giants Offense vs Buccaneers Defense
Total
Points / Game
5
23
Yards / Game
16
29
Passing Yards / Game
32
17
Rushing Yards / Game
14
1
EPA
EPA / Play
3
18
EPA / Pass
12
25
EPA / Rush
7
2
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
10
26
Interceptions / Game
14
9
Fumbles / Game
13
26
Turnover EPA / Game
24
19
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
11
25
4th Down Efficiency
17
9
RZ Efficiency
13
17
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Buccaneers
1-9
SU
2-8
ATS
6-4
O/U
Giants
7-3
SU
8-2
ATS
3-7
O/U