ARICardinals
3-4
20
TBD
Levi's Stadium
61°F
8 mph
10
SF49ers
0-8
TBD
Levi's Stadium
61°F
8 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Cardinals
7
7
0
6
20
49ers
0
3
7
0
10
Spread
-2.5
Total
UNDER
39
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
368
329
Total Plays
73
73
Yards / Play
5.0
4.5
EPA / Play
-0.15
-0.35
Passing Yards
--
266
Comp/Att
15/30(50%)
24/51(47%)
Yards / Pass
--
5.2
EPA / Pass
+0.06
-0.49
Rushing Yards
167
63
Rush Attempts
43
17
Yards / Rush
3.9
3.7
EPA / Rush
-0.27
+0.11
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
20
17
Passing 1st downs
11
13
Rushing 1st downs
6
3
Penalty 1st downs
3
1
3rd Down %
44%
35%
3rd Down Conversions
7
6
3rd Down Attempts
16
17
Red Zone %
40%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
2
1
Red Zone Attempts
5
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
2
Interceptions
1
1
Fumbles
1
1
Turnover EPA
-9.37
-13.66
Sacks
--
5
Sack Yards
--
-28
Sack EPA
--
-7.72
Penalties
2
8
Penalty Yards
25
53
Penalty EPA
-3.21
-7.36
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
ARICardinalsFavored
Opening
-2.5
Current
-2.5
Model
-2.5
Win Probability
Market56.6%
Model56.6%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-64
Home nfelo
1,380
Away nfelo
1,431
Home Field
-22.9
Base HFA
+56.3
Divisional Adj
-25.4
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
-43.8
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
-10.1
Net QB Adjustment
+9.8
Home QB Adjustment
-41.0
Away QB Adjustment
-50.8
Market Regression
--
Final Difference
-46.1
Model Spread
+2.5
Quarterbacks
D. Stanton
Proj. Value
-2.4
Team Elo Adj
-50.8
C. Beathard
Proj. Value
-1.7
Team Elo Adj
-41.0
Value
Ptile
Team Matchup Ranks
Cardinals Offense vs 49ers Defense
Total
Points / Game
24
25
Yards / Game
23
25
Passing Yards / Game
8
4
Rushing Yards / Game
30
22
EPA
EPA / Play
30
25
EPA / Pass
29
26
EPA / Rush
31
11
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
16
10
Interceptions / Game
28
25
Fumbles / Game
10
9
Turnover EPA / Game
5
15
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
25
30
4th Down Efficiency
20
32
RZ Efficiency
30
26
49ers Offense vs Cardinals Defense
Total
Points / Game
19
18
Yards / Game
12
4
Passing Yards / Game
11
24
Rushing Yards / Game
20
6
EPA
EPA / Play
16
6
EPA / Pass
17
9
EPA / Rush
9
3
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
6
3
Interceptions / Game
23
12
Fumbles / Game
13
23
Turnover EPA / Game
10
27
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
16
6
4th Down Efficiency
19
13
RZ Efficiency
28
23
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Cardinals
5-5
SU
3-7
ATS
5-5
O/U
49ers
1-9
SU
6-4
ATS
6-4
O/U