ARICardinals
2-2
7
TBD
Lincoln Financial Field
77°F
10 mph
34
PHIEagles
3-1
TBD
Lincoln Financial Field
77°F
10 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Cardinals
0
7
0
0
7
Eagles
21
0
10
3
34
Spread
-6.5
Total
UNDER
45
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
307
419
Total Plays
60
64
Yards / Play
5.1
6.5
EPA / Play
-0.26
+0.22
Passing Yards
276
297
Comp/Att
28/44(64%)
21/30(70%)
Yards / Pass
6.3
9.9
EPA / Pass
-0.09
+0.59
Rushing Yards
31
122
Rush Attempts
14
33
Yards / Rush
2.2
3.7
EPA / Rush
-0.19
-0.19
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
16
19
Passing 1st downs
13
11
Rushing 1st downs
1
5
Penalty 1st downs
2
3
3rd Down %
29%
64%
3rd Down Conversions
4
9
3rd Down Attempts
14
14
Red Zone %
100%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
1
2
Red Zone Attempts
1
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
1
Interceptions
0
1
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-3.36
-3.68
Sacks
2
1
Sack Yards
-15
-7
Sack EPA
-3.00
-1.79
Penalties
7
5
Penalty Yards
61
60
Penalty EPA
-5.82
-5.54
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
PHIEaglesFavored
Opening
-6.5
Current
-6.5
Model
-6.5
Win Probability
Market71.0%
Model71.0%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+169
Home nfelo
1,556
Away nfelo
1,479
Home Field
+77.8
Base HFA
+57.3
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
+20.5
Net QB Adjustment
+15.1
Home QB Adjustment
+3.8
Away QB Adjustment
-11.3
Market Regression
--
Final Difference
155.5
Model Spread
-6.5
Quarterbacks
C. Palmer
Proj. Value
-1.2
Team Elo Adj
-11.3
C. Wentz
Proj. Value
-1.8
Team Elo Adj
+3.8
Team Matchup Ranks
Cardinals Offense vs Eagles Defense
Total
Points / Game
24
4
Yards / Game
23
9
Passing Yards / Game
8
26
Rushing Yards / Game
30
1
EPA
EPA / Play
30
5
EPA / Pass
29
7
EPA / Rush
31
6
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
16
22
Interceptions / Game
28
6
Fumbles / Game
10
2
Turnover EPA / Game
5
29
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
25
3
4th Down Efficiency
20
2
RZ Efficiency
30
12
Eagles Offense vs Cardinals Defense
Total
Points / Game
1
18
Yards / Game
4
4
Passing Yards / Game
7
24
Rushing Yards / Game
3
6
EPA
EPA / Play
4
6
EPA / Pass
2
9
EPA / Rush
11
3
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
15
3
Interceptions / Game
4
12
Fumbles / Game
22
23
Turnover EPA / Game
29
27
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
2
6
4th Down Efficiency
3
13
RZ Efficiency
2
23
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Cardinals
5-5
SU
3-7
ATS
7-3
O/U
Eagles
5-5
SU
5-5
ATS
7-3
O/U