ARICardinals
11-2
40
TBD
Lincoln Financial Field
37°F
4 mph
17
PHIEagles
6-7
TBD
Lincoln Financial Field
37°F
4 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Cardinals
7
10
13
4
34
Eagles
3
7
0
7
17
Spread
-3.5
Total
OVER
50.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
493
424
Total Plays
74
63
Yards / Play
6.7
6.7
EPA / Play
+0.21
-0.20
Passing Yards
263
350
Comp/Att
20/33(61%)
28/41(68%)
Yards / Pass
8.0
8.5
EPA / Pass
+0.34
-0.07
Rushing Yards
230
74
Rush Attempts
39
20
Yards / Rush
5.9
3.7
EPA / Rush
+0.17
-0.48
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
28
19
Passing 1st downs
15
15
Rushing 1st downs
12
4
Penalty 1st downs
1
--
3rd Down %
57%
50%
3rd Down Conversions
8
6
3rd Down Attempts
14
12
Red Zone %
75%
0%
Red Zone Conversions
3
--
Red Zone Attempts
4
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
4
Interceptions
0
2
Fumbles
0
2
Turnover EPA
--
-23.67
Sacks
2
2
Sack Yards
-11
-11
Sack EPA
-3.46
-7.24
Penalties
1
5
Penalty Yards
--
38
Penalty EPA
--
-4.37
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
ARICardinalsFavored
Opening
-3.5
Current
-3.5
Model
-3.5
Win Probability
Market62.9%
Model62.9%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-58
Home nfelo
1,521
Away nfelo
1,589
Home Field
+38.3
Base HFA
+59.6
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
-21.4
Net QB Adjustment
-29.0
Home QB Adjustment
+0.3
Away QB Adjustment
+29.2
Market Regression
--
Final Difference
-91.7
Model Spread
+3.5
Quarterbacks
C. Palmer
Proj. Value
-1.2
Team Elo Adj
+29.2
S. Bradford
Proj. Value
-1.1
Team Elo Adj
+0.3
Team Matchup Ranks
Cardinals Offense vs Eagles Defense
Total
Points / Game
2
28
Yards / Game
2
30
Passing Yards / Game
2
31
Rushing Yards / Game
12
32
EPA
EPA / Play
2
17
EPA / Pass
3
16
EPA / Rush
11
31
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
10
15
Interceptions / Game
23
10
Fumbles / Game
28
15
Turnover EPA / Game
11
27
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
4
26
4th Down Efficiency
6
27
RZ Efficiency
10
31
Eagles Offense vs Cardinals Defense
Total
Points / Game
13
13
Yards / Game
12
7
Passing Yards / Game
14
27
Rushing Yards / Game
15
8
EPA
EPA / Play
21
11
EPA / Pass
22
8
EPA / Rush
16
4
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
16
27
Interceptions / Game
26
4
Fumbles / Game
30
8
Turnover EPA / Game
2
29
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
16
12
4th Down Efficiency
15
12
RZ Efficiency
22
15
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Cardinals
8-2
SU
4-6
ATS
5-5
O/U
Eagles
5-5
SU
5-5
ATS
5-5
O/U