ARICardinals
1-0
25
TBD
MetLife Stadium
66°F
1 mph
14
NYGGiants
0-1
TBD
MetLife Stadium
66°F
1 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Cardinals
10
0
0
9
19
Giants
0
7
7
0
14
Spread
+2
Total
UNDER
41.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
266
341
Total Plays
62
68
Yards / Play
4.3
5.0
EPA / Play
+0.03
-0.22
Passing Yards
142
260
Comp/Att
14/29(48%)
26/39(67%)
Yards / Pass
4.9
6.7
EPA / Pass
-0.13
+0.05
Rushing Yards
124
81
Rush Attempts
29
27
Yards / Rush
4.3
3.0
EPA / Rush
-0.01
-0.28
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
21
24
Passing 1st downs
9
15
Rushing 1st downs
6
5
Penalty 1st downs
6
4
3rd Down %
38%
50%
3rd Down Conversions
5
6
3rd Down Attempts
13
12
Red Zone %
25%
67%
Red Zone Conversions
1
2
Red Zone Attempts
4
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
4
Interceptions
0
2
Fumbles
0
2
Turnover EPA
--
-14.26
Sacks
4
2
Sack Yards
-25
-17
Sack EPA
-6.17
-2.77
Penalties
7
9
Penalty Yards
71
70
Penalty EPA
-4.97
-9.05
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
NYGGiantsFavored
Opening
-1.5
Current
-2.0
Model
-2.0
Win Probability
Market54.2%
Model54.2%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+52
Home nfelo
1,442
Away nfelo
1,514
Home Field
+106.7
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+21.8
Time Adj
+22.4
Net QB Adjustment
+17.9
Home QB Adjustment
-19.4
Away QB Adjustment
-37.3
Market Regression
+7.0
Final Difference
29.3
Model Spread
-2.0
Quarterbacks
D. Stanton
Proj. Value
-2.4
Team Elo Adj
-37.3
E. Manning
Proj. Value
-1.3
Team Elo Adj
-19.4
Team Matchup Ranks
Cardinals Offense vs Giants Defense
Total
Points / Game
24
22
Yards / Game
28
29
Passing Yards / Game
28
31
Rushing Yards / Game
31
30
EPA
EPA / Play
26
20
EPA / Pass
20
16
EPA / Rush
31
25
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
8
23
Interceptions / Game
13
11
Fumbles / Game
5
10
Turnover EPA / Game
19
19
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
19
4
4th Down Efficiency
1
9
RZ Efficiency
28
8
Giants Offense vs Cardinals Defense
Total
Points / Game
13
5
Yards / Game
11
25
Passing Yards / Game
12
26
Rushing Yards / Game
23
17
EPA
EPA / Play
16
3
EPA / Pass
13
6
EPA / Rush
26
10
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
29
22
Interceptions / Game
15
9
Fumbles / Game
22
24
Turnover EPA / Game
9
29
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
10
8
4th Down Efficiency
31
5
RZ Efficiency
8
3
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Cardinals
8-2
SU
6-3-1
ATS
5-5
O/U
Giants
6-4
SU
5-5
ATS
4-6
O/U