ARICardinals
2-1
21
TBD
Bank of America Stadium
68°F
8 mph
31
CARPanthers
1-2
TBD
Bank of America Stadium
68°F
8 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Cardinals
0
7
7
7
21
Panthers
14
7
7
3
31
Spread
+3
Total
UNDER
52.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
262
444
Total Plays
55
72
Yards / Play
4.8
6.2
EPA / Play
+0.08
+0.21
Passing Yards
133
--
Comp/Att
24/31(77%)
26/37(70%)
Yards / Pass
4.3
--
EPA / Pass
+0.04
+0.34
Rushing Yards
129
168
Rush Attempts
23
35
Yards / Rush
5.6
4.8
EPA / Rush
+0.14
+0.16
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
21
30
Passing 1st downs
11
17
Rushing 1st downs
6
11
Penalty 1st downs
4
2
3rd Down %
33%
64%
3rd Down Conversions
3
7
3rd Down Attempts
9
11
Red Zone %
100%
80%
Red Zone Conversions
3
4
Red Zone Attempts
3
5
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
1
Interceptions
0
1
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-3.93
-3.13
Sacks
1
--
Sack Yards
--
--
Sack EPA
-3.93
--
Penalties
5
10
Penalty Yards
29
72
Penalty EPA
-4.44
-8.24
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
ARICardinalsFavored
Opening
-4.0
Current
-3.0
Model
-3.0
Win Probability
Market59.7%
Model61.4%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-129
Home nfelo
1,372
Away nfelo
1,506
Home Field
+8.5
Base HFA
+6.3
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
+2.3
Net QB Adjustment
-3.3
Home QB Adjustment
+13.6
Away QB Adjustment
+16.9
Market Regression
+28.3
Final Difference
-80.8
Model Spread
+3.0
Quarterbacks
K. Murray
Proj. Value
+1.7
Team Elo Adj
+16.9
T. Bridgewater
Proj. Value
-1.7
Team Elo Adj
+13.6
Team Matchup Ranks
Cardinals Offense vs Panthers Defense
Total
Points / Game
14
18
Yards / Game
6
16
Passing Yards / Game
10
14
Rushing Yards / Game
6
18
EPA
EPA / Play
15
25
EPA / Pass
22
21
EPA / Rush
3
25
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
29
16
Interceptions / Game
17
30
Fumbles / Game
23
1
Turnover EPA / Game
8
25
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
22
31
4th Down Efficiency
5
21
RZ Efficiency
9
21
Panthers Offense vs Cardinals Defense
Total
Points / Game
24
12
Yards / Game
21
13
Passing Yards / Game
20
11
Rushing Yards / Game
20
21
EPA
EPA / Play
16
9
EPA / Pass
21
10
EPA / Rush
13
16
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
9
22
Interceptions / Game
27
20
Fumbles / Game
12
18
Turnover EPA / Game
21
19
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
24
10
4th Down Efficiency
20
26
RZ Efficiency
28
4
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Cardinals
4-6
SU
5-3-2
ATS
4-6
O/U
Panthers
1-9
SU
2-7-1
ATS
7-3
O/U