ARICardinals
14-3
15
TBD
Bank of America Stadium
39°F
4 mph
49
CARPanthers
16-1
TBD
Bank of America Stadium
39°F
4 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Cardinals
0
7
0
8
15
Panthers
17
7
10
9
43
Spread
-3
Total
OVER
47
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
289
478
Total Plays
61
67
Yards / Play
4.7
7.1
EPA / Play
-0.30
+0.26
Passing Yards
227
326
Comp/Att
23/41(56%)
19/29(66%)
Yards / Pass
5.5
11.2
EPA / Pass
-0.53
+0.38
Rushing Yards
62
152
Rush Attempts
17
37
Yards / Rush
3.6
4.1
EPA / Rush
+0.14
+0.01
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
21
21
Passing 1st downs
14
11
Rushing 1st downs
5
8
Penalty 1st downs
2
2
3rd Down %
30%
57%
3rd Down Conversions
3
8
3rd Down Attempts
10
14
Red Zone %
100%
75%
Red Zone Conversions
1
3
Red Zone Attempts
1
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
6
2
Interceptions
4
1
Fumbles
2
1
Turnover EPA
-27.14
-3.27
Sacks
3
1
Sack Yards
-8
-11
Sack EPA
-8.87
-2.03
Penalties
8
5
Penalty Yards
51
45
Penalty EPA
-6.58
-3.25
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
CARPanthersFavored
Opening
-3.0
Current
-3.0
Model
-3.0
Win Probability
Market59.3%
Model59.3%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+57
Home nfelo
1,620
Away nfelo
1,621
Home Field
+37.6
Base HFA
+58.6
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
-21.0
Net QB Adjustment
+15.7
Home QB Adjustment
+28.9
Away QB Adjustment
+13.2
Market Regression
--
Final Difference
65.4
Model Spread
-3.0
Quarterbacks
C. Palmer
Proj. Value
-1.2
Team Elo Adj
+13.2
C. Newton
Proj. Value
-2.3
Team Elo Adj
+28.9
Team Matchup Ranks
Cardinals Offense vs Panthers Defense
Total
Points / Game
2
6
Yards / Game
2
5
Passing Yards / Game
2
20
Rushing Yards / Game
12
4
EPA
EPA / Play
2
2
EPA / Pass
3
2
EPA / Rush
11
10
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
10
19
Interceptions / Game
23
1
Fumbles / Game
28
3
Turnover EPA / Game
11
32
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
4
9
4th Down Efficiency
6
25
RZ Efficiency
10
8
Panthers Offense vs Cardinals Defense
Total
Points / Game
1
13
Yards / Game
11
7
Passing Yards / Game
17
27
Rushing Yards / Game
2
8
EPA
EPA / Play
4
11
EPA / Pass
7
8
EPA / Rush
3
4
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
31
27
Interceptions / Game
8
4
Fumbles / Game
26
8
Turnover EPA / Game
22
29
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
6
12
4th Down Efficiency
9
12
RZ Efficiency
1
15
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Cardinals
9-1
SU
5-5
ATS
4-6
O/U
Panthers
9-1
SU
7-3
ATS
7-3
O/U