ARICardinals
3-0
37
TBD
SoFi Stadium
70°F
020
LARRams
3-0
TBD
SoFi Stadium
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Cardinals
7
17
10
3
37
Rams
10
3
0
7
20
Spread
+3.5
Total
OVER
53.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
465
401
Total Plays
75
64
Yards / Play
6.2
6.3
EPA / Play
+0.28
-0.04
Passing Yards
249
--
Comp/Att
24/32(75%)
26/41(63%)
Yards / Pass
7.8
--
EPA / Pass
+0.44
+0.06
Rushing Yards
216
121
Rush Attempts
40
23
Yards / Rush
5.4
5.3
EPA / Rush
+0.21
-0.08
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
27
24
Passing 1st downs
11
13
Rushing 1st downs
15
8
Penalty 1st downs
1
3
3rd Down %
62%
55%
3rd Down Conversions
8
6
3rd Down Attempts
13
11
Red Zone %
60%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
3
2
Red Zone Attempts
5
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
2
Interceptions
0
1
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
--
-9.18
Sacks
3
--
Sack Yards
-19
--
Sack EPA
-4.60
--
Penalties
7
5
Penalty Yards
63
36
Penalty EPA
-5.92
-4.74
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
LARRamsFavored
Opening
-6.0
Current
-3.5
Model
-3.5
Win Probability
Market62.5%
Model62.5%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+126
Home nfelo
1,622
Away nfelo
1,526
Home Field
+30.6
Base HFA
+42.5
Divisional Adj
-19.2
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+14.8
Time Adj
-7.6
Net QB Adjustment
-1.4
Home QB Adjustment
+16.3
Away QB Adjustment
+17.7
Market Regression
-52.7
Final Difference
88.7
Model Spread
-3.5
Quarterbacks
K. Murray
Proj. Value
+2.4
Team Elo Adj
+17.7
J. Stafford
Proj. Value
+0.5
Team Elo Adj
+16.3
Team Matchup Ranks
Cardinals Offense vs Rams Defense
Total
Points / Game
10
9
Yards / Game
9
13
Passing Yards / Game
10
27
Rushing Yards / Game
14
5
EPA
EPA / Play
14
6
EPA / Pass
11
9
EPA / Rush
12
8
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
19
28
Interceptions / Game
10
5
Fumbles / Game
1
28
Turnover EPA / Game
24
17
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
8
7
4th Down Efficiency
10
14
RZ Efficiency
14
9
Rams Offense vs Cardinals Defense
Total
Points / Game
6
16
Yards / Game
7
12
Passing Yards / Game
1
10
Rushing Yards / Game
27
21
EPA
EPA / Play
9
9
EPA / Pass
2
15
EPA / Rush
31
5
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
29
15
Interceptions / Game
26
19
Fumbles / Game
11
2
Turnover EPA / Game
14
29
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
6
13
4th Down Efficiency
17
9
RZ Efficiency
17
22
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Cardinals
5-5
SU
4-6
ATS
3-7
O/U
Rams
7-3
SU
6-4
ATS
6-4
O/U