ARICardinals
3-3
0
TBD
Twickenham Stadium
54°F
10 mph
33
LARRams
4-2
TBD
Twickenham Stadium
54°F
10 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Cardinals
0
0
0
0
0
Rams
3
20
3
7
33
Spread
-3
Total
UNDER
45.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
196
425
Total Plays
47
78
Yards / Play
4.2
5.4
EPA / Play
-0.50
+0.19
Passing Yards
171
228
Comp/Att
15/32(47%)
22/37(59%)
Yards / Pass
5.3
6.2
EPA / Pass
-0.47
+0.10
Rushing Yards
25
197
Rush Attempts
12
40
Yards / Rush
2.1
4.9
EPA / Rush
-0.24
+0.22
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
10
28
Passing 1st downs
8
14
Rushing 1st downs
1
11
Penalty 1st downs
1
3
3rd Down %
25%
68%
3rd Down Conversions
3
13
3rd Down Attempts
12
19
Red Zone %
0%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
--
3
Red Zone Attempts
1
6
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
1
Interceptions
2
1
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
-8.30
-6.56
Sacks
3
1
Sack Yards
-17
-7
Sack EPA
-5.48
-0.66
Penalties
10
6
Penalty Yards
65
45
Penalty EPA
-6.68
-4.28
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
LARRamsFavored
Opening
-3.5
Current
-3.0
Model
-2.5
Win Probability
Market59.3%
Model54.8%
Spread Pick
Cardinals+3.0
Expected Value
+3.6%
Cover Probability
50.0%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-2
Home nfelo
1,493
Away nfelo
1,472
Home Field
-35.9
Base HFA
--
Divisional Adj
-25.7
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
-10.2
Net QB Adjustment
+13.7
Home QB Adjustment
+10.7
Away QB Adjustment
-3.0
Market Regression
-7.8
Final Difference
33.5
Model Spread
-2.5
Quarterbacks
C. Palmer
Proj. Value
-1.2
Team Elo Adj
-3.0
J. Goff
Proj. Value
+2.5
Team Elo Adj
+10.7
Team Matchup Ranks
Cardinals Offense vs Rams Defense
Total
Points / Game
24
12
Yards / Game
23
17
Passing Yards / Game
8
11
Rushing Yards / Game
30
27
EPA
EPA / Play
30
7
EPA / Pass
29
5
EPA / Rush
31
26
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
16
24
Interceptions / Game
28
7
Fumbles / Game
10
3
Turnover EPA / Game
5
24
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
25
14
4th Down Efficiency
20
27
RZ Efficiency
30
24
Rams Offense vs Cardinals Defense
Total
Points / Game
3
18
Yards / Game
8
4
Passing Yards / Game
13
24
Rushing Yards / Game
7
6
EPA
EPA / Play
6
6
EPA / Pass
8
9
EPA / Rush
7
3
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
29
3
Interceptions / Game
1
12
Fumbles / Game
30
23
Turnover EPA / Game
21
27
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
10
6
4th Down Efficiency
22
13
RZ Efficiency
15
23
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Cardinals
5-5
SU
3-7
ATS
6-4
O/U
Rams
4-6
SU
3-7
ATS
8-2
O/U