ARICardinals
3-5
22
TBD
Lumen Field
59°F
5 mph
44
SEASeahawks
6-2
TBD
Lumen Field
59°F
5 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Cardinals
0
7
8
7
22
Seahawks
15
11
0
6
32
Spread
-7
Total
OVER
44.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
337
372
Total Plays
74
59
Yards / Play
4.6
6.3
EPA / Play
-0.24
+0.15
Passing Yards
208
174
Comp/Att
22/46(48%)
10/12(83%)
Yards / Pass
4.5
14.5
EPA / Pass
-0.27
+0.34
Rushing Yards
129
198
Rush Attempts
23
46
Yards / Rush
5.6
4.3
EPA / Rush
-0.14
-0.00
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
21
22
Passing 1st downs
13
6
Rushing 1st downs
7
14
Penalty 1st downs
1
2
3rd Down %
38%
60%
3rd Down Conversions
6
6
3rd Down Attempts
16
10
Red Zone %
50%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
3
2
Red Zone Attempts
6
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
3
Interceptions
0
1
Fumbles
2
2
Turnover EPA
-15.85
-14.67
Sacks
5
1
Sack Yards
-52
-4
Sack EPA
-20.98
-5.06
Penalties
5
3
Penalty Yards
37
20
Penalty EPA
-3.94
-2.85
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
SEASeahawksFavored
Opening
-6.5
Current
-7.0
Model
-7.0
Win Probability
Market72.8%
Model72.8%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+214
Home nfelo
1,594
Away nfelo
1,487
Home Field
+30.1
Base HFA
+41.9
Divisional Adj
-18.9
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+14.6
Time Adj
-7.5
Net QB Adjustment
+76.5
Home QB Adjustment
+18.4
Away QB Adjustment
-58.1
Market Regression
+3.6
Final Difference
171.0
Model Spread
-7.0
Quarterbacks
J. Brissett
Proj. Value
-1.4
Team Elo Adj
-58.1
S. Darnold
Proj. Value
+0.7
Team Elo Adj
+18.4
Team Matchup Ranks
Cardinals Offense vs Seahawks Defense
Total
Points / Game
19
6
Yards / Game
14
9
Passing Yards / Game
15
25
Rushing Yards / Game
24
6
EPA
EPA / Play
24
2
EPA / Pass
15
13
EPA / Rush
25
1
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
7
32
Interceptions / Game
10
8
Fumbles / Game
28
11
Turnover EPA / Game
11
23
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
5
7
4th Down Efficiency
27
12
RZ Efficiency
18
11
Seahawks Offense vs Cardinals Defense
Total
Points / Game
2
25
Yards / Game
6
21
Passing Yards / Game
31
31
Rushing Yards / Game
14
16
EPA
EPA / Play
11
21
EPA / Pass
7
21
EPA / Rush
29
11
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
28
3
Interceptions / Game
28
18
Fumbles / Game
29
5
Turnover EPA / Game
1
14
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
14
14
4th Down Efficiency
5
4
RZ Efficiency
10
18
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Cardinals
4-6
SU
7-3
ATS
5-5
O/U
Seahawks
8-2
SU
6-4
ATS
6-4
O/U