nfelo logo

nfelo

Live
Platform
Kalshi
$10

$10 Bonus

Receive $10 when you sign up with Kalshi prediction market

Affiliate Disclosure: Some of the links and placements on this site may be affiliate links or paid partnerships. This means nfelo may receive compensation when you click these links or sign up for a partner’s service.

Offer Disclosure: Offers are for informational purposes only. Age, location, and other restrictions may apply. nfelo does not validate offer availability. See provider for full terms.

  1. nfelo...
  2. predictions...
  3. cardinals @ seahawks week 10, 2025

Game Summary

Spread
Total

Model

Quarterbacks

Matchup

nfelo logo

nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

© 2026 nfelo. All rights reserved.

Entertainment purposes only. The information contained on nfeloapp.com is not intended to be, and shall not be construed as, gambling advice, financial advice, or any other professional advice or service. nfeloapp.com and its owners assume no responsibility for errors or omissions. Please gamble responsibly.

ARI logo
ARICardinals
3-5
22
TBD
Lumen Field
59°F
5 mph
44
SEASeahawks
6-2
SEA logo
TBD
Lumen Field
59°F
5 mph

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Cardinals
0
7
8
7
22
Seahawks
15
11
0
6
32

Spread

SEA logo
-7

Total

OVER
44.5

Game Statistics

General
Cardinals logo
Seahawks logo
Total Yards
337
372
Total Plays
74
59
Yards / Play
4.6
6.3
EPA / Play
-0.24
+0.15
Passing Yards
208
174
Comp/Att
22/46(48%)
10/12(83%)
Yards / Pass
4.5
14.5
EPA / Pass
-0.27
+0.34
Rushing Yards
129
198
Rush Attempts
23
46
Yards / Rush
5.6
4.3
EPA / Rush
-0.14
-0.00
Downs & Conversions
Cardinals logo
Seahawks logo
1st Downs
21
22
Passing 1st downs
13
6
Rushing 1st downs
7
14
Penalty 1st downs
1
2
3rd Down %
38%
60%
3rd Down Conversions
6
6
3rd Down Attempts
16
10
Red Zone %
50%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
3
2
Red Zone Attempts
6
4
Negative Plays
Cardinals logo
Seahawks logo
Turnovers
2
3
Interceptions
0
1
Fumbles
2
2
Turnover EPA
-15.85
-14.67
Sacks
5
1
Sack Yards
-52
-4
Sack EPA
-20.98
-5.06
Penalties
5
3
Penalty Yards
37
20
Penalty EPA
-3.94
-2.85

Game Preview

nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game

Model

Projected Winner
SEA logo
SEASeahawksFavored
Opening
-6.5
Current
-7.0
Model
-7.0

Win Probability

Market72.8%
Model72.8%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+211
Home nfelo
1,595
Away nfelo
1,491
Home Field
+30.7
Base HFA
+42.6
Divisional Adj
-19.2
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+14.9
Time Adj
-7.6
Net QB Adjustment
+76.5
Home QB Adjustment
+18.4
Away QB Adjustment
-58.1
Market Regression
+4.1
Final Difference
171.0
Model Spread
-7.0

Quarterbacks

J. Brissett headshot

J. Brissett

Proj. Value
-0.5
Team Elo Adj
-58.1
Value
Ptile
11/20
10.3
97
11/27
-2.6
30
09/08
-2.6
30
09/15
-4.7
18
09/19
-7.3
7
09/29
-8.3
4
10/06
-4.6
19
10/12
2.1
65
10/19
0.1
52
11/03
-0.2
49
S. Darnold headshot

S. Darnold

Proj. Value
-0.8
Team Elo Adj
+18.4
Value
Ptile
01/05
-8.0
5
01/13
-8.9
4
09/07
-1.3
40
09/14
-0.4
47
09/21
3.7
76
09/25
0.4
54
10/05
9.2
96
10/12
1.9
64
10/20
-3.0
29
11/02
9.3
96

Team Matchup Ranks

Cardinals Offense vs Seahawks Defense
Cardinals logo
Seahawks logo

Total

Points / Game
23
2
Yards / Game
19
6
Passing Yards / Game
5
8
Rushing Yards / Game
29
3

EPA

EPA / Play
26
2
EPA / Pass
18
8
EPA / Rush
26
1

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
5
26
Interceptions / Game
11
5
Fumbles / Game
23
7
Turnover EPA / Game
15
27

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
9
1
4th Down Efficiency
30
13
RZ Efficiency
22
7
Seahawks Offense vs Cardinals Defense
Seahawks logo
Cardinals logo

Total

Points / Game
2
29
Yards / Game
8
26
Passing Yards / Game
27
27
Rushing Yards / Game
16
25

EPA

EPA / Play
11
28
EPA / Pass
8
27
EPA / Rush
29
20

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
25
6
Interceptions / Game
26
17
Fumbles / Game
28
7
Turnover EPA / Game
1
11

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
15
26
4th Down Efficiency
8
8
RZ Efficiency
18
27

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

ARI logo

Cardinals

4-6
SU
7-3
ATS
5-5
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
12/28
-4
L
W
U
01/05
23
W
W
O
09/07
7
W
W
U
09/14
5
W
L
O
09/21
-1
L
W
U
09/25
-3
L
L
U
10/05
-1
L
L
O
10/12
-4
L
W
O
10/19
-4
L
W
O
11/03
10
W
W
U
SEA logo

Seahawks

8-2
SU
6-4
ATS
6-4
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
12/26
3
W
L
U
01/05
5
W
L
O
09/07
-4
L
L
U
09/14
14
W
W
O
09/21
31
W
W
O
09/25
3
W
W
U
10/05
-3
L
L
O
10/12
8
W
W
U
10/20
8
W
W
O
11/02
24
W
W
O