ARICardinals
6-4
6
TBD
Lumen Field
45°F
5 mph
16
SEASeahawks
5-5
TBD
Lumen Field
45°F
5 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Cardinals
0
3
0
3
6
Seahawks
0
7
0
3
10
Spread
+1.5
Total
UNDER
46.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
298
285
Total Plays
56
61
Yards / Play
5.3
4.7
EPA / Play
-0.21
-0.04
Passing Yards
249
220
Comp/Att
24/37(65%)
22/31(71%)
Yards / Pass
6.7
7.1
EPA / Pass
-0.14
+0.07
Rushing Yards
49
65
Rush Attempts
14
25
Yards / Rush
3.5
2.6
EPA / Rush
-0.36
-0.24
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
15
17
Passing 1st downs
15
12
Rushing 1st downs
--
4
Penalty 1st downs
--
1
3rd Down %
25%
50%
3rd Down Conversions
3
7
3rd Down Attempts
12
14
Red Zone %
0%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
--
1
Red Zone Attempts
2
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
1
Interceptions
1
1
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
-8.37
-4.73
Sacks
5
5
Sack Yards
-36
-34
Sack EPA
-6.66
-10.66
Penalties
5
5
Penalty Yards
60
51
Penalty EPA
-5.05
+5.60
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
ARICardinalsFavored
Opening
+1.0
Current
-1.5
Model
-1.5
Win Probability
Market53.6%
Model53.6%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-12
Home nfelo
1,496
Away nfelo
1,482
Home Field
+4.9
Base HFA
+41.0
Divisional Adj
-18.5
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
-31.9
Surface Adj
+14.3
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
-31.5
Home QB Adjustment
+0.0
Away QB Adjustment
+31.5
Market Regression
-34.7
Final Difference
-25.1
Model Spread
+1.5
Quarterbacks
K. Murray
Proj. Value
+2.4
Team Elo Adj
+31.5
E. Smith
Proj. Value
+0.4
Team Elo Adj
+0.0
Team Matchup Ranks
Cardinals Offense vs Seahawks Defense
Total
Points / Game
11
13
Yards / Game
11
13
Passing Yards / Game
28
9
Rushing Yards / Game
7
16
EPA
EPA / Play
8
10
EPA / Pass
11
8
EPA / Rush
5
15
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
17
5
Interceptions / Game
11
13
Fumbles / Game
22
19
Turnover EPA / Game
20
19
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
8
10
4th Down Efficiency
27
6
RZ Efficiency
17
8
Seahawks Offense vs Cardinals Defense
Total
Points / Game
17
16
Yards / Game
15
20
Passing Yards / Game
4
8
Rushing Yards / Game
28
20
EPA
EPA / Play
20
25
EPA / Pass
21
24
EPA / Rush
18
28
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
23
28
Interceptions / Game
26
25
Fumbles / Game
6
19
Turnover EPA / Game
10
12
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
21
28
4th Down Efficiency
21
17
RZ Efficiency
14
8
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Cardinals
6-4
SU
7-3
ATS
4-5-1
O/U
Seahawks
5-5
SU
3-7
ATS
5-5
O/U