ARICardinals
9-5
17
TBD
Lumen Field
48°F
6 mph
10
SEASeahawks
12-2
TBD
Lumen Field
48°F
6 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Cardinals
0
3
3
11
17
Seahawks
0
3
0
7
10
Spread
+9.5
Total
UNDER
42.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
309
192
Total Plays
71
51
Yards / Play
4.4
3.8
EPA / Play
-0.16
-0.42
Passing Yards
168
89
Comp/Att
13/25(52%)
11/27(41%)
Yards / Pass
6.7
3.3
EPA / Pass
-0.39
-0.48
Rushing Yards
141
103
Rush Attempts
44
20
Yards / Rush
3.2
5.2
EPA / Rush
-0.12
-0.14
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
16
10
Passing 1st downs
6
6
Rushing 1st downs
4
3
Penalty 1st downs
6
1
3rd Down %
32%
15%
3rd Down Conversions
6
2
3rd Down Attempts
19
13
Red Zone %
0%
33%
Red Zone Conversions
--
1
Red Zone Attempts
3
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
4
2
Interceptions
4
1
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
-16.80
-8.23
Sacks
2
4
Sack Yards
-10
-19
Sack EPA
-2.22
-5.59
Penalties
7
9
Penalty Yards
46
102
Penalty EPA
-4.84
-9.53
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
SEASeahawksFavored
Opening
-10.0
Current
-9.5
Model
-9.5
Win Probability
Market78.5%
Model78.5%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+235
Home nfelo
1,717
Away nfelo
1,515
Home Field
+44.9
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
-28.2
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+21.8
Time Adj
-11.2
Net QB Adjustment
-12.6
Home QB Adjustment
+6.8
Away QB Adjustment
+19.4
Market Regression
-10.5
Final Difference
225.0
Model Spread
-9.5
Quarterbacks
C. Palmer
Proj. Value
-1.2
Team Elo Adj
+19.4
R. Wilson
Proj. Value
+1.1
Team Elo Adj
+6.8
Team Matchup Ranks
Cardinals Offense vs Seahawks Defense
Total
Points / Game
16
1
Yards / Game
14
1
Passing Yards / Game
3
5
Rushing Yards / Game
24
7
EPA
EPA / Play
21
1
EPA / Pass
19
1
EPA / Rush
26
12
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
28
16
Interceptions / Game
28
1
Fumbles / Game
13
13
Turnover EPA / Game
4
31
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
23
9
4th Down Efficiency
12
7
RZ Efficiency
24
2
Seahawks Offense vs Cardinals Defense
Total
Points / Game
7
6
Yards / Game
22
6
Passing Yards / Game
28
18
Rushing Yards / Game
4
1
EPA
EPA / Play
12
2
EPA / Pass
4
4
EPA / Rush
21
2
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
18
18
Interceptions / Game
2
5
Fumbles / Game
21
16
Turnover EPA / Game
29
28
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
16
11
4th Down Efficiency
19
8
RZ Efficiency
14
14
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Cardinals
7-3
SU
6-3-1
ATS
6-4
O/U
Seahawks
8-2
SU
6-4
ATS
4-6
O/U